Axion Power Pink Sheet Forward View
| AXPWQ Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
Axion Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today The relative strength index (RSI) of Axion Power's share price is above 80 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 100
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Axion Power hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Axion Power International from the perspective of Axion Power response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Axion Power International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000012 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0007. Axion Power after-hype prediction price | USD 9.4E-5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Axion |
Axion Power Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Axion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Axion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Axion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Axion Power Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Axion Power International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000012, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0007.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Axion Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Axion Power's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Axion Power Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Axion Power | Axion Power Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Axion Power Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Axion Power's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Axion Power's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 128.04, respectively. We have considered Axion Power's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Axion Power pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Axion Power pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 96.1059 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 9.223372036854776E14 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.0E-4 |
Predictive Modules for Axion Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Axion Power International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Axion Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Axion Power After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Axion Power at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Axion Power or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Axion Power, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Axion Power Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Axion Power's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Axion Power's historical news coverage. Axion Power's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.01, respectively. We have considered Axion Power's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Axion Power is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Axion Power International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Axion Power Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Axion Power is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Axion Power backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Axion Power, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
16.39 | 128.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0001 | 0.000094 | 5.84 |
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Axion Power Hype Timeline
Axion Power International is presently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Axion is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.4E-5. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -5.84%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 16.39%. The volatility of related hype on Axion Power is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.44. Axion Power International last dividend was issued on the 15th of July 2016. The entity had 1:400 split on the 15th of July 2016. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Axion Power to cross-verify your projections.Axion Power Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Axion Power's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Axion Power's future price movements. Getting to know how Axion Power's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Axion Power may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JKSM | Jacksam | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FDEI | Fidelis Energy | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TFRY | Tasty Fries | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CDIIQ | CD International Enterprises | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GCHT | GC China Turbine | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MCNO | Mucinno Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HYHY | Hydrogen Hybrid Technologies | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| STWC | STWC Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 300.00 | |
| ADFS | American Defense Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PMXX | Primix Corp | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Axion Power
For every potential investor in Axion, whether a beginner or expert, Axion Power's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Axion Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Axion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Axion Power's price trends.Axion Power Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Axion Power pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Axion Power could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Axion Power by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Axion Power Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Axion Power pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Axion Power shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Axion Power pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Axion Power International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 100.0 |
Story Coverage note for Axion Power
The number of cover stories for Axion Power depends on current market conditions and Axion Power's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Axion Power is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Axion Power's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Axion Power Short Properties
Axion Power's future price predictability will typically decrease when Axion Power's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Axion Power International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Axion Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Axion Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Short Long Term Debt | 4.4 M | |
| Shares Float | 96 M |
Additional Tools for Axion Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Axion Power's price analysis, check to measure Axion Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axion Power is operating at the current time. Most of Axion Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Axion Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axion Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Axion Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.