Axion Power Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

AXPWQ Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Axion Power International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000073 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000012 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0007. Axion Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Axion Power's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Axion Power's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Axion Power International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Axion Power hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Axion Power International from the perspective of Axion Power response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Axion Power International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000073 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000012 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0007.

Axion Power after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Axion Power to cross-verify your projections.

Axion Power Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Axion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Axion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Axion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Axion Power is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Axion Power International value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Axion Power Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Axion Power International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000073 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000012, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0007.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Axion Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Axion Power's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Axion Power Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Axion PowerAxion Power Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Axion Power Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Axion Power's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Axion Power's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 125.99, respectively. We have considered Axion Power's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.000001
Downside
0.000073
Expected Value
125.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Axion Power pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Axion Power pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria96.099
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors7.0E-4
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Axion Power International. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Axion Power. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Axion Power

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Axion Power International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Axion Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000150.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00006350.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.0000610.0000610.000061
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Axion Power

For every potential investor in Axion, whether a beginner or expert, Axion Power's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Axion Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Axion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Axion Power's price trends.

Axion Power Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Axion Power pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Axion Power could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Axion Power by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Axion Power International Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Axion Power's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Axion Power's current price.

Axion Power Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Axion Power pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Axion Power shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Axion Power pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Axion Power International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pair Trading with Axion Power

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Axion Power position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Axion Power will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Axion Pink Sheet

  0.68WF Woori Financial GroupPairCorr

Moving against Axion Pink Sheet

  0.73FNMFO Federal National MortgagePairCorr
  0.66PG Procter GamblePairCorr
  0.6MSFT MicrosoftPairCorr
  0.44HD Home DepotPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Axion Power could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Axion Power when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Axion Power - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Axion Power International to buy it.
The correlation of Axion Power is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Axion Power moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Axion Power International moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Axion Power can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Axion Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Axion Power's price analysis, check to measure Axion Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axion Power is operating at the current time. Most of Axion Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Axion Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axion Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Axion Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.