AXIS Capital Preferred Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| AXS-PE Preferred Stock | USD 20.31 0.11 0.54% |
AXIS Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast AXIS Capital stock prices and determine the direction of AXIS Capital Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of AXIS Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of AXIS Capital's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the preferred stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using AXIS Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AXIS Capital Holdings from the perspective of AXIS Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
AXIS Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AXIS |
AXIS Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AXIS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AXIS using various technical indicators. When you analyze AXIS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AXIS Capital Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of AXIS Capital Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 20.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.23.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AXIS Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AXIS Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
AXIS Capital Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest AXIS Capital | AXIS Capital Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
AXIS Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting AXIS Capital's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AXIS Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.88 and 20.74, respectively. We have considered AXIS Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AXIS Capital preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AXIS Capital preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.4175 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0135 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0705 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0035 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.23 |
Predictive Modules for AXIS Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AXIS Capital Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AXIS Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AXIS Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AXIS Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of AXIS Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AXIS Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AXIS Capital's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AXIS Capital's historical news coverage. AXIS Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.43, respectively. We have considered AXIS Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AXIS Capital is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AXIS Capital Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
AXIS Capital Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AXIS Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AXIS Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AXIS Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
|
AXIS Capital Hype Timeline
AXIS Capital Holdings is presently traded for 20.31. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. AXIS is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on AXIS Capital is about 151.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.29. About 23.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.19. AXIS Capital Holdings last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AXIS Capital to cross-verify your projections.AXIS Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AXIS Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AXIS Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how AXIS Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AXIS Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ACGLO | Arch Capital Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 0.72 | (0.87) | 2.15 | |
| ACT | Enact Holdings | (1.29) | 6 per month | 1.25 | 0.03 | 2.09 | (2.11) | 8.01 | |
| AGO | Assured Guaranty | 0.76 | 10 per month | 0.92 | (0.01) | 1.86 | (1.26) | 10.58 | |
| AHL-PD | Aspen Insurance Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.96 | (1.20) | 3.02 | |
| ALL-PH | The Allstate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.60 | (0.16) | 0.86 | (0.95) | 2.75 | |
| AMBC | AMBC Old | (1.02) | 26 per month | 2.11 | 0.06 | 3.67 | (3.77) | 20.03 | |
| AMSF | AMERISAFE | (1.29) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.81 | (2.07) | 6.30 | |
| ATH-PA | Athene Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.29 | (0.23) | 0.65 | (0.49) | 1.48 | |
| AXS | AXIS Capital Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.09 | 0.08 | 2.01 | (2.29) | 8.59 | |
| RNR-PF | RenaissanceRe Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 0.71 | (0.91) | 1.90 |
Other Forecasting Options for AXIS Capital
For every potential investor in AXIS, whether a beginner or expert, AXIS Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AXIS Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AXIS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AXIS Capital's price trends.AXIS Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AXIS Capital preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AXIS Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AXIS Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AXIS Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AXIS Capital preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AXIS Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AXIS Capital preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AXIS Capital Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
AXIS Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of AXIS Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AXIS Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting axis preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3463 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4282 | |||
| Variance | 0.1834 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AXIS Capital
The number of cover stories for AXIS Capital depends on current market conditions and AXIS Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AXIS Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AXIS Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in AXIS Preferred Stock
AXIS Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether AXIS Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AXIS with respect to the benefits of owning AXIS Capital security.