Axie Infinity Crypto Coin Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| AXS Crypto | USD 1.34 0.07 5.51% |
Axie Crypto Coin outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Axie Infinity crypto prices and determine the direction of Axie Infinity Shards's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Axie Infinity's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the RSI of Axie Infinity's share price is approaching 47. This suggests that the crypto coin is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Axie Infinity, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Axie Infinity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Axie Infinity Shards from the perspective of Axie Infinity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Axie Infinity Shards on the next trading day is expected to be 1.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.98. Axie Infinity after-hype prediction price | .CC 1.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as crypto price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Axie |
Axie Infinity Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Axie price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Axie using various technical indicators. When you analyze Axie charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Axie Infinity Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Axie Infinity Shards on the next trading day is expected to be 1.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.98.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Axie Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Axie Infinity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Axie Infinity Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern
Axie Infinity Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Axie Infinity's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Axie Infinity's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 11.23, respectively. We have considered Axie Infinity's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Axie Infinity crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Axie Infinity crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.3301 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.003 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.098 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.065 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.98 |
Predictive Modules for Axie Infinity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Axie Infinity Shards. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Axie Infinity After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Axie Infinity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Axie Infinity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Crypto Coin prices, such as prices of Axie Infinity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Axie Infinity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Axie Infinity's crypto coin value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Axie Infinity's historical news coverage. Axie Infinity's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 11.10, respectively. We have considered Axie Infinity's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Axie Infinity is abnormally risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Axie Infinity Shards is based on 3 months time horizon.
Axie Infinity Crypto Coin Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Cryptocurrency such as Axie Infinity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Axie Infinity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Crypto price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Axie Infinity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.67 | 9.89 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.34 | 1.21 | 9.70 |
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Axie Infinity Hype Timeline
Axie Infinity Shards is presently traded for 1.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Axie is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.21. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -9.7%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.67%. The volatility of related hype on Axie Infinity is about 40327.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.32. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Axie Infinity to cross-verify your projections.Axie Infinity Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Axie Infinity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Axie Infinity's future price movements. Getting to know how Axie Infinity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Axie Infinity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AXS | Axie Infinity Shards | (0.20) | 3 per month | 6.06 | 0.05 | 16.04 | (11.54) | 63.72 | |
| STETH | Staked Ether | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.86 | (8.85) | 24.13 | |
| EIGEN | EigenLayer | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 9.09 | (10.00) | 30.00 | |
| EOSDAC | EOSDAC | (0.000019) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 6.86 | (9.26) | 24.16 | |
| BLZ | BLZ | (0.0007) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 18.07 | (12.12) | 37.97 | |
| MORPHO | Morpho | 0.02 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 9.65 | (5.79) | 26.57 | |
| DIA | DIA | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 7.69 | (8.33) | 31.53 | |
| EM | EM | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AE | AE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.46 | 0.14 | 26.31 | (5.66) | 151.20 |
Other Forecasting Options for Axie Infinity
For every potential investor in Axie, whether a beginner or expert, Axie Infinity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Axie Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Axie. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Axie Infinity's price trends.Axie Infinity Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Axie Infinity crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Axie Infinity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Axie Infinity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Axie Infinity Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Axie Infinity crypto coin reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Axie Infinity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Axie Infinity crypto coin market strength indicators, traders can identify Axie Infinity Shards entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Axie Infinity Risk Indicators
The analysis of Axie Infinity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Axie Infinity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting axie crypto coin prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.66 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.71 | |||
| Variance | 94.38 | |||
| Downside Variance | 47.13 | |||
| Semi Variance | 36.67 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (10.14) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Axie Infinity
The number of cover stories for Axie Infinity depends on current market conditions and Axie Infinity's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Axie Infinity is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Axie Infinity's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Axie Infinity to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.