Addtech AB Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

AZZ2 Stock  EUR 29.64  0.50  1.72%   
Addtech Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Addtech AB's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 19th of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Addtech AB's share price is approaching 32. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Addtech AB, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 32

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Addtech AB's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Addtech AB and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Addtech AB's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Addtech AB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Addtech AB's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.152
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.014
Using Addtech AB hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Addtech AB from the perspective of Addtech AB response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Addtech AB on the next trading day is expected to be 29.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.13.

Addtech AB after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 29.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Addtech AB to cross-verify your projections.

Addtech AB Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Addtech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Addtech using various technical indicators. When you analyze Addtech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Addtech AB price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Addtech AB Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Addtech AB on the next trading day is expected to be 29.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86, mean absolute percentage error of 1.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.13.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Addtech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Addtech AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Addtech AB Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Addtech AB  Addtech AB Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Addtech AB Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Addtech AB's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Addtech AB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.41 and 31.18, respectively. We have considered Addtech AB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
29.64
29.29
Expected Value
31.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Addtech AB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Addtech AB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.9954
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8569
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0294
SAESum of the absolute errors53.1269
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Addtech AB historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Addtech AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Addtech AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.7429.6331.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.5729.4631.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.4429.8442.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Addtech AB. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Addtech AB's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Addtech AB's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Addtech AB.

Addtech AB After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Addtech AB at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Addtech AB or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Addtech AB, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Addtech AB Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Addtech AB's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Addtech AB's historical news coverage. Addtech AB's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.74 and 31.52, respectively. We have considered Addtech AB's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
29.64
29.63
After-hype Price
31.52
Upside
Addtech AB is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Addtech AB is based on 3 months time horizon.

Addtech AB Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Addtech AB is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Addtech AB backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Addtech AB, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
1.89
  0.01 
  0.19 
6 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
29.64
29.63
0.03 
4,725  
Notes

Addtech AB Hype Timeline

Addtech AB is presently traded for 29.64on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.19. Addtech is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 29.63. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Addtech AB is about 142.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.83. About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the 28th of August 2025. Addtech AB had 4:1 split on the 15th of September 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Addtech AB to cross-verify your projections.

Addtech AB Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Addtech AB's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Addtech AB's future price movements. Getting to know how Addtech AB's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Addtech AB may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Addtech AB

For every potential investor in Addtech, whether a beginner or expert, Addtech AB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Addtech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Addtech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Addtech AB's price trends.

Addtech AB Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Addtech AB stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Addtech AB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Addtech AB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Addtech AB Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Addtech AB stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Addtech AB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Addtech AB stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Addtech AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Addtech AB Risk Indicators

The analysis of Addtech AB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Addtech AB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting addtech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Addtech AB

The number of cover stories for Addtech AB depends on current market conditions and Addtech AB's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Addtech AB is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Addtech AB's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Addtech Stock

Addtech AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Addtech Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Addtech with respect to the benefits of owning Addtech AB security.