Baker Hughes Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

B1KR34 Stock  BRL 284.10  16.07  6.00%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Baker Hughes on the next trading day is expected to be 276.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 254.96. Baker Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Baker Hughes stock prices and determine the direction of Baker Hughes's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Baker Hughes' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Baker Hughes is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Baker Hughes 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Baker Hughes on the next trading day is expected to be 276.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.40, mean absolute percentage error of 95.81, and the sum of the absolute errors of 254.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Baker Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Baker Hughes' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Baker Hughes Stock Forecast Pattern

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Baker Hughes Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Baker Hughes' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Baker Hughes' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 274.51 and 277.62, respectively. We have considered Baker Hughes' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
284.10
274.51
Downside
276.06
Expected Value
277.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Baker Hughes stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Baker Hughes stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.1593
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -2.9863
MADMean absolute deviation4.3958
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.017
SAESum of the absolute errors254.9575
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Baker Hughes. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Baker Hughes and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Baker Hughes

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baker Hughes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
282.54284.10285.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
255.69307.48309.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Baker Hughes. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Baker Hughes' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Baker Hughes' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Baker Hughes.

Other Forecasting Options for Baker Hughes

For every potential investor in Baker, whether a beginner or expert, Baker Hughes' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Baker Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Baker. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Baker Hughes' price trends.

Baker Hughes Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Baker Hughes stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Baker Hughes could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Baker Hughes by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Baker Hughes Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Baker Hughes' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Baker Hughes' current price.

Baker Hughes Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Baker Hughes stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Baker Hughes shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Baker Hughes stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Baker Hughes entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Baker Hughes Risk Indicators

The analysis of Baker Hughes' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Baker Hughes' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting baker stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Baker Stock

Baker Hughes financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baker Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baker with respect to the benefits of owning Baker Hughes security.