Boeing Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BA Stock | USD 251.41 1.34 0.54% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Boeing on the next trading day is expected to be 251.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 172.92. Boeing Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Boeing stock prices and determine the direction of The Boeing's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Boeing's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength indicator of Boeing's share price is above 70 at this time suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Boeing, making its price go up or down. Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0107 | EPS Estimate Current Year (9.58) | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.3357 | Wall Street Target Price 258.04 |
Using Boeing hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Boeing from the perspective of Boeing response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Boeing using Boeing's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Boeing using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Boeing's stock price.
Boeing Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Boeing's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Boeing. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Boeing stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 209.0669 | Short Percent 0.0199 | Short Ratio 1.89 | Shares Short Prior Month 14.8 M | 50 Day MA 208.9446 |
Boeing Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Boeing's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Boeing. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Boeing can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around The Boeing. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Boeing Implied Volatility | 0.31 |
Boeing's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of The Boeing stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Boeing's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Boeing stock will not fluctuate a lot when Boeing's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Boeing on the next trading day is expected to be 251.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 172.92. Boeing after-hype prediction price | USD 252.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boeing to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Boeing contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that The Boeing will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0194% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Boeing trading at USD 251.41, that is roughly USD 0.0487 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Boeing's daily price movement you should consider acquiring The Boeing options at the current volatility level of 0.31%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Boeing Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Boeing's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Boeing's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Boeing stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Boeing's open interest, investors have to compare it to Boeing's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Boeing is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Boeing. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Boeing Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Boeing price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Boeing using various technical indicators. When you analyze Boeing charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Boeing Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Boeing on the next trading day is expected to be 251.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.83, mean absolute percentage error of 19.76, and the sum of the absolute errors of 172.92.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Boeing Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Boeing's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Boeing Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Boeing | Boeing Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Boeing Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Boeing's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Boeing's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 249.20 and 253.62, respectively. We have considered Boeing's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Boeing stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Boeing stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.0941 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4928 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.8348 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0136 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 172.92 |
Predictive Modules for Boeing
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boeing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Boeing After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Boeing at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Boeing or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Boeing, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Boeing Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Boeing's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Boeing's historical news coverage. Boeing's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 250.01 and 254.39, respectively. We have considered Boeing's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Boeing is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Boeing is based on 3 months time horizon.
Boeing Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Boeing is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Boeing backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Boeing, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 2.21 | 0.75 | 0.79 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
251.41 | 252.20 | 0.31 |
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Boeing Hype Timeline
As of January 23, 2026 Boeing is listed for 251.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.75, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.79. Boeing is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 252.2 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 64.43%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.31%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Boeing is about 61.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 250.62. The company generated the yearly revenue of 66.52 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (11.83 B) with gross profit of 965 M. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boeing to cross-verify your projections.Boeing Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Boeing's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Boeing's future price movements. Getting to know how Boeing's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Boeing may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DE | Deere Company | 3.47 | 8 per month | 1.48 | 0.07 | 2.70 | (2.07) | 7.96 | |
| EPASX | Ep Emerging Markets | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.41 | (0.01) | 1.39 | (0.78) | 3.02 | |
| FGRO | Fidelity Growth Opportunities | (0.18) | 2 per month | 17.20 | 0.17 | 1.35 | (1.60) | 5,625 | |
| ANTMX | Nt International Small Mid | 0.13 | 1 per month | 0.77 | 0.07 | 1.40 | (1.43) | 3.31 | |
| JHMXX | John Hancock Money | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GVPIX | Us Government Plus | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 0.76 | (1.27) | 2.68 | |
| QUAZX | Ab Small Cap | (35.62) | 1 per month | 1.45 | 0.05 | 2.05 | (2.40) | 6.54 | |
| UIPMX | Precious Metals And | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.14 | 0.14 | 4.42 | (4.18) | 10.33 | |
| DOMIX | Domini Impact International | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.59 | 0.0006 | 1.08 | (1.35) | 3.56 |
Other Forecasting Options for Boeing
For every potential investor in Boeing, whether a beginner or expert, Boeing's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Boeing Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Boeing. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Boeing's price trends.Boeing Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Boeing stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Boeing could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Boeing by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Boeing Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Boeing stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Boeing shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Boeing stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Boeing entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 166932.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.3073 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 251.96 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 251.78 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.12 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.34 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 70.37 |
Boeing Risk Indicators
The analysis of Boeing's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Boeing's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting boeing stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Variance | 4.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.2 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.72 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.36) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Boeing
The number of cover stories for Boeing depends on current market conditions and Boeing's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Boeing is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Boeing's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Boeing Short Properties
Boeing's future price predictability will typically decrease when Boeing's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The Boeing often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Boeing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boeing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 646.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 26.3 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boeing to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Boeing. If investors know Boeing will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Boeing listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | Earnings Share (13.70) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.304 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Boeing is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Boeing that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Boeing's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Boeing's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Boeing's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Boeing's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Boeing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Boeing is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Boeing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.