Boeing Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

BA Stock  USD 143.41  2.67  1.83%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Boeing on the next trading day is expected to be 143.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 162.09. Boeing Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Boeing stock prices and determine the direction of The Boeing's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Boeing's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Receivables Turnover is expected to grow to 12.54, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 0.83. . As of November 22, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 586.3 M. The current year's Net Loss is expected to grow to about (4.2 B).
Triple exponential smoothing for Boeing - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Boeing prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Boeing price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Boeing.

Boeing Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Boeing on the next trading day is expected to be 143.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.75, mean absolute percentage error of 12.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 162.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Boeing Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Boeing's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Boeing Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest BoeingBoeing Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Boeing Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Boeing's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Boeing's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 140.98 and 145.12, respectively. We have considered Boeing's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
143.41
140.98
Downside
143.05
Expected Value
145.12
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Boeing stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Boeing stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.5433
MADMean absolute deviation2.7472
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.018
SAESum of the absolute errors162.0855
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Boeing observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older The Boeing observations.

Predictive Modules for Boeing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boeing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
139.77141.84143.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
129.07183.72185.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
137.67149.15160.64
Details
28 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
211.69232.63258.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Boeing. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Boeing's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Boeing's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Boeing.

Other Forecasting Options for Boeing

For every potential investor in Boeing, whether a beginner or expert, Boeing's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Boeing Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Boeing. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Boeing's price trends.

Boeing Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Boeing stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Boeing could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Boeing by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Boeing Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Boeing's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Boeing's current price.

Boeing Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Boeing stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Boeing shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Boeing stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Boeing entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Boeing Risk Indicators

The analysis of Boeing's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Boeing's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting boeing stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boeing to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Boeing. If investors know Boeing will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Boeing listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.68)
Earnings Share
(12.94)
Revenue Per Share
119.345
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Return On Assets
(0.03)
The market value of Boeing is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Boeing that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Boeing's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Boeing's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Boeing's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Boeing's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Boeing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Boeing is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Boeing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.