Bank of China Ltd H Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

BACHF Stock  USD 0.50  0.02  4.17%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Bank of China on the next trading day is expected to be 0.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.68. Bank Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bank of China Ltd H's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Bank of China is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Bank of China Ltd H 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Bank of China on the next trading day is expected to be 0.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bank Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bank of China Ltd H's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bank of China Ltd H Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Bank of China Ltd H Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bank of China Ltd H's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bank of China Ltd H's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.14, respectively. We have considered Bank of China Ltd H's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.50
0.48
Expected Value
4.14
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bank of China Ltd H pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bank of China Ltd H pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.656
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0025
MADMean absolute deviation0.0118
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0249
SAESum of the absolute errors0.675
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Bank of China Ltd H. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Bank of China and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Bank of China Ltd H

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank of China Ltd H. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.504.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.414.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bank of China Ltd H. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bank of China Ltd H's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bank of China Ltd H's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bank of China Ltd H.

Other Forecasting Options for Bank of China Ltd H

For every potential investor in Bank, whether a beginner or expert, Bank of China Ltd H's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bank Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bank of China Ltd H's price trends.

Bank of China Ltd H Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bank of China Ltd H pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bank of China Ltd H could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bank of China Ltd H by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bank of China Ltd H Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bank of China Ltd H's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bank of China Ltd H's current price.

Bank of China Ltd H Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bank of China Ltd H pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bank of China Ltd H shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bank of China Ltd H pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Bank of China entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bank of China Ltd H Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bank of China Ltd H's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bank of China Ltd H's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bank pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Bank Pink Sheet

Bank of China Ltd H financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank of China Ltd H security.