Bank of China Ltd H Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average

BACHF Stock  USD 0.58  0.01  1.75%   
Bank Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Bank of China Ltd H's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Bank of China Ltd H's share price is at 50 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bank of China Ltd H, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bank of China Ltd H's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bank of China Ltd H and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bank of China Ltd H's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bank of China, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Bank of China Ltd H hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank of China from the perspective of Bank of China Ltd H response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bank of China on the next trading day is expected to be 0.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.97.

Bank of China Ltd H after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.58  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank of China Ltd H to cross-verify your projections.

Bank of China Ltd H Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Bank of China Ltd H is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Bank of China Ltd H Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bank of China on the next trading day is expected to be 0.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.97.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bank Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bank of China Ltd H's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bank of China Ltd H Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bank of China Ltd H  Bank of China Ltd H Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Bank of China Ltd H Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bank of China Ltd H's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bank of China Ltd H's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.41, respectively. We have considered Bank of China Ltd H's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.58
0.58
Expected Value
4.41
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bank of China Ltd H pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bank of China Ltd H pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.8006
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0162
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0286
SAESum of the absolute errors0.975
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Bank of China price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Bank of China Ltd H. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Bank of China Ltd H

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank of China Ltd H. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.584.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.494.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bank of China Ltd H. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bank of China Ltd H's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bank of China Ltd H's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bank of China Ltd H.

Bank of China Ltd H After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bank of China Ltd H at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank of China Ltd H or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Bank of China Ltd H, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bank of China Ltd H Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bank of China Ltd H's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank of China Ltd H's historical news coverage. Bank of China Ltd H's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 4.40, respectively. We have considered Bank of China Ltd H's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.58
0.58
After-hype Price
4.40
Upside
Bank of China Ltd H is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank of China Ltd H is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bank of China Ltd H Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank of China Ltd H is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank of China Ltd H backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank of China Ltd H, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
3.83
  0.01 
 0.00  
8 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.58
0.58
0.00 
1,915  
Notes

Bank of China Ltd H Hype Timeline

Bank of China Ltd H is currently traded for 0.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Bank is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bank of China Ltd H is about 6383.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.58. About 27.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.31. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bank of China Ltd H has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.45. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of July 2022. The firm had 2677:2567 split on the 5th of November 2010. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank of China Ltd H to cross-verify your projections.

Bank of China Ltd H Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bank of China Ltd H's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank of China Ltd H's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank of China Ltd H's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank of China Ltd H may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BCDRFBanco Santander SA 0.00 0 per month 2.49  0.16  4.59 (4.30) 13.28 
MBFJFMitsubishi UFJ Financial 0.00 0 per month 2.98  0.09  5.35 (4.61) 15.91 
PIAIFPing An Insurance 0.00 0 per month 2.08  0.12  6.21 (4.69) 19.20 
CILJFChina Life Insurance 0.00 0 per month 2.80  0.14  5.85 (4.35) 13.26 
CIHHFChina Merchants Bank 0.20 12 per month 0.00  0.07  0.00  0.00  20.47 
CIHKYChina Merchants Bank 0.20 4 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.21 (2.45) 5.78 
ALIZFAllianz SE 0.20 4 per month 1.72  0.01  3.57 (2.84) 9.75 
BBVXFBanco Bilbao Vizcaya 0.00 0 per month 2.03  0.17  4.56 (3.34) 9.25 
PNGAYPing An Insurance 0.00 0 per month 0.89  0.17  3.10 (1.68) 9.68 
BKFCFBank of Communications 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.01  0.00  0.00  13.76 

Other Forecasting Options for Bank of China Ltd H

For every potential investor in Bank, whether a beginner or expert, Bank of China Ltd H's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bank Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bank of China Ltd H's price trends.

Bank of China Ltd H Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bank of China Ltd H pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bank of China Ltd H could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bank of China Ltd H by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bank of China Ltd H Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bank of China Ltd H pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bank of China Ltd H shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bank of China Ltd H pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Bank of China entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bank of China Ltd H Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bank of China Ltd H's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bank of China Ltd H's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bank pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Bank of China Ltd H

The number of cover stories for Bank of China Ltd H depends on current market conditions and Bank of China Ltd H's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank of China Ltd H is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank of China Ltd H's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Bank of China Ltd H Short Properties

Bank of China Ltd H's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bank of China Ltd H's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bank of China often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bank of China Ltd H's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank of China Ltd H's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding294.4 B
Dividends Paid70.2 B

Other Information on Investing in Bank Pink Sheet

Bank of China Ltd H financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank of China Ltd H security.