Bank of AmericaPFD SER B Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

BACRP Preferred Stock  USD 190.00  10.00  5.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bank of America on the next trading day is expected to be 190.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.24. Bank Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Bank of AmericaPFD SER B - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Bank of AmericaPFD SER B prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Bank of AmericaPFD SER B price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Bank of AmericaPFD SER B .

Bank of AmericaPFD SER B Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bank of America on the next trading day is expected to be 190.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.46, mean absolute percentage error of 25.75, and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bank Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bank of AmericaPFD SER B 's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bank of AmericaPFD SER B Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bank of AmericaPFD SER B Bank of AmericaPFD SER B Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Bank of AmericaPFD SER B Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bank of AmericaPFD SER B 's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bank of AmericaPFD SER B 's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 187.34 and 192.66, respectively. We have considered Bank of AmericaPFD SER B 's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
190.00
187.34
Downside
190.00
Expected Value
192.66
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bank of AmericaPFD SER B pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bank of AmericaPFD SER B pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0312
MADMean absolute deviation1.4617
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0077
SAESum of the absolute errors86.24
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Bank of AmericaPFD SER B observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Bank of America observations.

Predictive Modules for Bank of AmericaPFD SER B

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank of AmericaPFD SER B . Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
187.34190.00192.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
173.06175.72209.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
190.00190.00190.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Bank of AmericaPFD SER B

For every potential investor in Bank, whether a beginner or expert, Bank of AmericaPFD SER B 's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bank Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bank of AmericaPFD SER B 's price trends.

Bank of AmericaPFD SER B Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bank of AmericaPFD SER B pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bank of AmericaPFD SER B could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bank of AmericaPFD SER B by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bank of AmericaPFD SER B Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bank of AmericaPFD SER B 's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bank of AmericaPFD SER B 's current price.

Bank of AmericaPFD SER B Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bank of AmericaPFD SER B pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bank of AmericaPFD SER B shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bank of AmericaPFD SER B pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Bank of America entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bank of AmericaPFD SER B Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bank of AmericaPFD SER B 's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bank of AmericaPFD SER B 's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bank pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Bank of AmericaPFD SER B

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bank of AmericaPFD SER B position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bank of AmericaPFD SER B will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Bank Pink Sheet

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Moving against Bank Pink Sheet

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  0.6ELCPF EDP EnergiasPairCorr
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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bank of AmericaPFD SER B could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bank of AmericaPFD SER B when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bank of AmericaPFD SER B - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bank of America to buy it.
The correlation of Bank of AmericaPFD SER B is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bank of AmericaPFD SER B moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bank of AmericaPFD SER B moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bank of AmericaPFD SER B can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Bank Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Bank of AmericaPFD SER B 's price analysis, check to measure Bank of AmericaPFD SER B 's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank of AmericaPFD SER B is operating at the current time. Most of Bank of AmericaPFD SER B 's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank of AmericaPFD SER B 's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank of AmericaPFD SER B 's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank of AmericaPFD SER B to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.