BankInvest Emerging Fund Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

BAIEMOLVA  DKK 103.60  0.60  0.58%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BankInvest Emerging on the next trading day is expected to be 103.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.93. BankInvest Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for BankInvest Emerging - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When BankInvest Emerging prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in BankInvest Emerging price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of BankInvest Emerging.

BankInvest Emerging Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BankInvest Emerging on the next trading day is expected to be 103.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.93.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BankInvest Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BankInvest Emerging's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BankInvest Emerging Fund Forecast Pattern

BankInvest Emerging Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BankInvest Emerging's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BankInvest Emerging's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 103.07 and 104.13, respectively. We have considered BankInvest Emerging's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
103.60
103.07
Downside
103.60
Expected Value
104.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BankInvest Emerging fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BankInvest Emerging fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0297
MADMean absolute deviation0.3039
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.003
SAESum of the absolute errors17.93
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past BankInvest Emerging observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older BankInvest Emerging observations.

Predictive Modules for BankInvest Emerging

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BankInvest Emerging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.47103.00103.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
102.27102.80103.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
101.70102.83103.96
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BankInvest Emerging

For every potential investor in BankInvest, whether a beginner or expert, BankInvest Emerging's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BankInvest Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BankInvest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BankInvest Emerging's price trends.

BankInvest Emerging Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BankInvest Emerging fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BankInvest Emerging could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BankInvest Emerging by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BankInvest Emerging Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BankInvest Emerging's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BankInvest Emerging's current price.

BankInvest Emerging Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BankInvest Emerging fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BankInvest Emerging shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BankInvest Emerging fund market strength indicators, traders can identify BankInvest Emerging entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BankInvest Emerging Risk Indicators

The analysis of BankInvest Emerging's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BankInvest Emerging's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bankinvest fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Other Information on Investing in BankInvest Fund

BankInvest Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether BankInvest Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BankInvest with respect to the benefits of owning BankInvest Emerging security.
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