BankInvest Lange Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

BAILDOBA  DKK 89.96  0.14  0.16%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BankInvest Lange Danske on the next trading day is expected to be 90.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.64. BankInvest Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast BankInvest Lange stock prices and determine the direction of BankInvest Lange Danske's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BankInvest Lange's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for BankInvest Lange is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of BankInvest Lange Danske value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

BankInvest Lange Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of BankInvest Lange Danske on the next trading day is expected to be 90.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BankInvest Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BankInvest Lange's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BankInvest Lange Fund Forecast Pattern

BankInvest Lange Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BankInvest Lange's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BankInvest Lange's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 89.85 and 90.21, respectively. We have considered BankInvest Lange's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
89.96
90.03
Expected Value
90.21
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BankInvest Lange fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BankInvest Lange fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.3827
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1394
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0016
SAESum of the absolute errors8.6445
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of BankInvest Lange Danske. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict BankInvest Lange. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for BankInvest Lange

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BankInvest Lange Danske. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BankInvest Lange's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.7889.9690.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.4282.6098.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
89.1089.7490.37
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BankInvest Lange

For every potential investor in BankInvest, whether a beginner or expert, BankInvest Lange's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BankInvest Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BankInvest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BankInvest Lange's price trends.

BankInvest Lange Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BankInvest Lange fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BankInvest Lange could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BankInvest Lange by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BankInvest Lange Danske Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BankInvest Lange's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BankInvest Lange's current price.

BankInvest Lange Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BankInvest Lange fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BankInvest Lange shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BankInvest Lange fund market strength indicators, traders can identify BankInvest Lange Danske entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BankInvest Lange Risk Indicators

The analysis of BankInvest Lange's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BankInvest Lange's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bankinvest fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Other Information on Investing in BankInvest Fund

BankInvest Lange financial ratios help investors to determine whether BankInvest Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BankInvest with respect to the benefits of owning BankInvest Lange security.
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