BFC Capital Preferred Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

BANFP Preferred Stock  USD 26.27  0.16  0.61%   
BFC Preferred Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of BFC Capital's share price is at 57 suggesting that the preferred stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BFC Capital, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 57

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of BFC Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BFC Capital Trust, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using BFC Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BFC Capital Trust from the perspective of BFC Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of BFC Capital Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 26.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.53.

BFC Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 26.27  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BFC Capital to cross-verify your projections.

BFC Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BFC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BFC using various technical indicators. When you analyze BFC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through BFC Capital price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

BFC Capital Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 22nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of BFC Capital Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 26.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.53.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BFC Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BFC Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BFC Capital Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest BFC Capital  BFC Capital Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

BFC Capital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BFC Capital's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BFC Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.26 and 27.18, respectively. We have considered BFC Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.27
26.22
Expected Value
27.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BFC Capital preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BFC Capital preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.0697
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1727
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0066
SAESum of the absolute errors10.5341
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as BFC Capital Trust historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for BFC Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BFC Capital Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.3126.2727.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.1626.1227.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
24.8126.2427.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BFC Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BFC Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BFC Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BFC Capital Trust.

BFC Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of BFC Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BFC Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of BFC Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

BFC Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting BFC Capital's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BFC Capital's historical news coverage. BFC Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.31 and 27.23, respectively. We have considered BFC Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
26.27
26.27
After-hype Price
27.23
Upside
BFC Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BFC Capital Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.

BFC Capital Preferred Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BFC Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BFC Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BFC Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
0.96
 0.00  
  0.04 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
26.27
26.27
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

BFC Capital Hype Timeline

BFC Capital Trust is currently traded for 26.27. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.04. BFC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on BFC Capital is about 26.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.31. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of January 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BFC Capital to cross-verify your projections.

BFC Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to BFC Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BFC Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how BFC Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BFC Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WAPSXWestern Asset E 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.27) 0.22 (0.32) 0.65 
WACPXWestern Asset E 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.25) 0.32 (0.22) 0.76 
HSNYXThe Hartford Strategic 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.34) 0.25 (0.25) 0.63 
HSNAXThe Hartford Strategic 0.02 1 per month 0.00 (0.37) 0.25 (0.25) 0.63 
ETHEGrayscale Ethereum Trust 0.15 5 per month 0.00 (0.14) 7.71 (8.89) 22.51 
RPIEXT Rowe Price 16.67 2 per month 0.10 (0.29) 0.40 (0.27) 1.33 
BDSIXBlackrock Advantage Small 0.00 0 per month 0.90  0.09  2.11 (1.84) 5.57 
BDSCXBlackrock Advantage Small 19.39 6 per month 0.89  0.08  2.09 (1.83) 5.58 
PRTMXT Rowe Price 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.51) 0.17 (0.09) 0.61 
CTCAXColumbia Global Technology 0.51 1 per month 1.61  0  1.88 (2.68) 6.21 

Other Forecasting Options for BFC Capital

For every potential investor in BFC, whether a beginner or expert, BFC Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BFC Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BFC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BFC Capital's price trends.

BFC Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BFC Capital preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BFC Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BFC Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BFC Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BFC Capital preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BFC Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BFC Capital preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BFC Capital Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BFC Capital Risk Indicators

The analysis of BFC Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BFC Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bfc preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for BFC Capital

The number of cover stories for BFC Capital depends on current market conditions and BFC Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BFC Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BFC Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

BFC Capital Short Properties

BFC Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when BFC Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BFC Capital Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BFC Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BFC Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividends Paid-45.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments271 M
Short Long Term Debt Total56.8 M

Additional Tools for BFC Preferred Stock Analysis

When running BFC Capital's price analysis, check to measure BFC Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BFC Capital is operating at the current time. Most of BFC Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BFC Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BFC Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BFC Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.