BARK Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| BARK Stock | USD 0.93 0 0.11% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of BARK Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.74. BARK Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although BARK's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of BARK's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of BARK fundamentals over time.
As of now the value of rsi of BARK's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.03) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.12) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.09) | Wall Street Target Price 2.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.01) |
Using BARK hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BARK Inc from the perspective of BARK response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BARK using BARK's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BARK using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BARK's stock price.
BARK Short Interest
An investor who is long BARK may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about BARK and may potentially protect profits, hedge BARK with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 0.9056 | Short Percent 0.0876 | Short Ratio 13.21 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.9 M | 50 Day MA 0.6942 |
BARK Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to BARK's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in BARK. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BARK can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BARK Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
BARK Implied Volatility | 0.41 |
BARK's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BARK Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BARK's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BARK stock will not fluctuate a lot when BARK's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of BARK Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.74. BARK after-hype prediction price | USD 0.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BARK to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 BARK Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast BARK's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in BARK's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for BARK stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current BARK's open interest, investors have to compare it to BARK's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of BARK is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in BARK. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
BARK Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BARK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BARK using various technical indicators. When you analyze BARK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BARK Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of BARK Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.74.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BARK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BARK's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BARK Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BARK | BARK Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
BARK Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BARK's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BARK's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.29, respectively. We have considered BARK's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BARK stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BARK stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.7647 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.094 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1282 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.7365 |
Predictive Modules for BARK
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BARK Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BARK After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BARK at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BARK or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BARK, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BARK Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BARK's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BARK's historical news coverage. BARK's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 6.55, respectively. We have considered BARK's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BARK is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BARK Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
BARK Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BARK is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BARK backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BARK, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 5.60 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.93 | 0.95 | 2.04 |
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BARK Hype Timeline
BARK Inc is currently traded for 0.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. BARK is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.95 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 2.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on BARK is about 20000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.94. BARK Inc currently holds 85.17 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.65, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BARK to cross-verify your projections.BARK Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BARK's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BARK's future price movements. Getting to know how BARK's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BARK may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DIBS | 1StdibsCom | (0.09) | 8 per month | 2.13 | 0.26 | 9.58 | (4.17) | 23.12 | |
| AKA | AKA Brands Holding | 0.17 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.64 | (6.20) | 22.74 | |
| NPT | Nuveen Premiumome Municipal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PLCE | Childrens Place | 0.16 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 9.41 | (8.42) | 49.46 | |
| LAKE | Lakeland Industries | 0.06 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.57 | (4.41) | 43.80 | |
| BZUN | Baozun Inc | (0.17) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.27 | (4.64) | 17.07 | |
| FFAI | Faraday Future Intelligent | 0.02 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 8.15 | (8.11) | 20.97 | |
| AIIO | Roboai Inc | (0.05) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 8.62 | (16.18) | 75.86 | |
| GDHG | Golden Heaven Group | 0.16 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 7.61 | (10.54) | 34.10 | |
| SPWH | Sportsmans | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.78 | (6.07) | 37.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for BARK
For every potential investor in BARK, whether a beginner or expert, BARK's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BARK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BARK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BARK's price trends.BARK Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BARK stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BARK could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BARK by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BARK Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BARK stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BARK shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BARK stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BARK Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.93 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.93 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.0015 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.001 |
BARK Risk Indicators
The analysis of BARK's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BARK's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bark stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.67 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.58 | |||
| Variance | 31.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.29 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.66) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BARK
The number of cover stories for BARK depends on current market conditions and BARK's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BARK is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BARK's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
BARK Short Properties
BARK's future price predictability will typically decrease when BARK's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BARK Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BARK's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BARK's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 175.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 94 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BARK to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Other Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BARK. If investors know BARK will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BARK listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.20) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of BARK Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BARK that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BARK's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BARK's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BARK's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BARK's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BARK's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BARK is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BARK's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.