Socit BIC Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| BB Stock | EUR 56.60 0.30 0.53% |
Socit Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Socit BIC stock prices and determine the direction of Socit BIC SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Socit BIC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Socit BIC's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.51) | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.7031 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.9344 | Wall Street Target Price 57.4167 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) |
Using Socit BIC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Socit BIC SA from the perspective of Socit BIC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Socit BIC SA on the next trading day is expected to be 56.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.63. Socit BIC after-hype prediction price | EUR 56.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Socit |
Socit BIC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Socit price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Socit using various technical indicators. When you analyze Socit charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Socit BIC Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Socit BIC SA on the next trading day is expected to be 56.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Socit Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Socit BIC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Socit BIC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Socit BIC | Socit BIC Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Socit BIC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Socit BIC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Socit BIC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 55.42 and 57.48, respectively. We have considered Socit BIC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Socit BIC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Socit BIC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.5585 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2309 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5191 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0101 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 30.625 |
Predictive Modules for Socit BIC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Socit BIC SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Socit BIC After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Socit BIC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Socit BIC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Socit BIC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Socit BIC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Socit BIC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Socit BIC's historical news coverage. Socit BIC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 55.26 and 57.34, respectively. We have considered Socit BIC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Socit BIC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Socit BIC SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Socit BIC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Socit BIC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Socit BIC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Socit BIC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 1.03 | 0.00 | 27.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
56.60 | 56.30 | 0.00 |
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Socit BIC Hype Timeline
Socit BIC SA is currently traded for 56.60on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 27.0. Socit is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Socit BIC is about 1.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 83.60. About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.36. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Socit BIC SA last dividend was issued on the 30th of May 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 28th of July 1997. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Socit BIC to cross-verify your projections.Socit BIC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Socit BIC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Socit BIC's future price movements. Getting to know how Socit BIC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Socit BIC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MLONL | Onlineformapro SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.26 | 0.05 | 7.78 | (8.82) | 33.47 | |
| LC30 | Amundi Index Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.28 | (0.13) | 0.49 | (0.58) | 1.36 | |
| MTU | Manitou BF SA | 0.06 | 2 per month | 0.91 | 0.12 | 2.93 | (1.85) | 21.05 | |
| MEMS | Memscap Regpt | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.78 | 0.16 | 5.41 | (3.73) | 16.81 | |
| IBE5 | iShares V PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.96) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.40 | |
| MAAT | Maat Pharma SA | 0.14 | 2 per month | 3.26 | 0.21 | 9.68 | (5.53) | 26.84 | |
| ALECR | Eurofins Cerep SA | 900.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.21 | |
| POXEL | Poxel SA | (0.03) | 3 per month | 3.98 | 0.03 | 13.04 | (7.69) | 84.17 | |
| ERA | Eramet SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.03 | 0.03 | 6.49 | (5.95) | 17.43 | |
| SRICD | BNP Paribas Easy | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.36) | 0.21 | (0.21) | 0.53 |
Other Forecasting Options for Socit BIC
For every potential investor in Socit, whether a beginner or expert, Socit BIC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Socit Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Socit. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Socit BIC's price trends.Socit BIC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Socit BIC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Socit BIC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Socit BIC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Socit BIC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Socit BIC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Socit BIC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Socit BIC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Socit BIC SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 338.17 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4286 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 56.65 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 56.63 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.1 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.3 |
Socit BIC Risk Indicators
The analysis of Socit BIC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Socit BIC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting socit stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7461 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8453 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Variance | 1.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7146 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Socit BIC
The number of cover stories for Socit BIC depends on current market conditions and Socit BIC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Socit BIC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Socit BIC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Socit BIC Short Properties
Socit BIC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Socit BIC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Socit BIC SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Socit BIC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Socit BIC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 459.2 M |
Other Information on Investing in Socit Stock
Socit BIC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Socit Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Socit with respect to the benefits of owning Socit BIC security.