BigBearai Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| BBAI Stock | USD 5.82 0.11 1.85% |
BigBearai Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BigBearai Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, the value of RSI of BigBearai Holdings' share price is approaching 46 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BigBearai Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using BigBearai Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BigBearai Holdings from the perspective of BigBearai Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BigBearai Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 5.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.43. BigBearai Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 5.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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BigBearai Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BigBearai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BigBearai using various technical indicators. When you analyze BigBearai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BigBearai Holdings Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BigBearai Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 5.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.43.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BigBearai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BigBearai Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BigBearai Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
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BigBearai Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BigBearai Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BigBearai Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.06 and 11.86, respectively. We have considered BigBearai Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BigBearai Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BigBearai Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.5839 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0264 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2954 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0483 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.43 |
Predictive Modules for BigBearai Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BigBearai Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BigBearai Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BigBearai Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BigBearai Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BigBearai Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BigBearai Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BigBearai Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BigBearai Holdings' historical news coverage. BigBearai Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.29 and 11.86, respectively. We have considered BigBearai Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BigBearai Holdings is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BigBearai Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
BigBearai Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BigBearai Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BigBearai Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BigBearai Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 6.04 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 2 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.82 | 5.82 | 0.00 |
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BigBearai Holdings Hype Timeline
BigBearai Holdings is currently traded for 5.82. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. BigBearai is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on BigBearai Holdings is about 1802.99%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.85. About 36.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of BigBearai Holdings was currently reported as 1.4. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.45. BigBearai Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BigBearai Holdings to cross-verify your projections.BigBearai Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BigBearai Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BigBearai Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how BigBearai Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BigBearai Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CLVT | CLARIVATE PLC | 0.09 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.12 | (5.95) | 13.67 | |
| AI | C3 Ai Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 4.45 | (4.92) | 11.16 | |
| DXC | DXC Technology Co | 0.43 | 7 per month | 2.18 | 0.04 | 3.28 | (3.49) | 16.29 | |
| INOD | Innodata | 0.09 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.34 | (7.73) | 25.81 | |
| FORTY | Formula Systems 1985 | (0.12) | 21 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CNXC | Concentrix | 0.04 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.06 | (5.11) | 14.93 | |
| ASGN | ASGN Inc | 1.41 | 2 per month | 1.60 | 0.06 | 3.65 | (3.02) | 11.39 | |
| GLOB | Globant SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.34 | 0.06 | 5.74 | (3.42) | 14.86 | |
| VNET | VNET Group DRC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.98 | 0.02 | 7.68 | (8.09) | 21.08 | |
| ONDS | Ondas Holdings | 1.41 | 2 per month | 6.15 | 0.12 | 18.21 | (12.11) | 41.64 |
Other Forecasting Options for BigBearai Holdings
For every potential investor in BigBearai, whether a beginner or expert, BigBearai Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BigBearai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BigBearai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BigBearai Holdings' price trends.BigBearai Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BigBearai Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BigBearai Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BigBearai Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BigBearai Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BigBearai Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BigBearai Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BigBearai Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BigBearai Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
BigBearai Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of BigBearai Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BigBearai Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bigbearai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.55 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.04 | |||
| Variance | 36.53 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BigBearai Holdings
The number of cover stories for BigBearai Holdings depends on current market conditions and BigBearai Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BigBearai Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BigBearai Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BigBearai Holdings Short Properties
BigBearai Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when BigBearai Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BigBearai Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BigBearai Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BigBearai Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 233.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 50.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BigBearai Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in BigBearai Stock please use our How to Invest in BigBearai Holdings guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BigBearai Holdings. If investors know BigBearai will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BigBearai Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of BigBearai Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BigBearai that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BigBearai Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BigBearai Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BigBearai Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BigBearai Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BigBearai Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BigBearai Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BigBearai Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.