BBVA Banco Stock Forward View
| BBAR Stock | USD 19.45 0.77 3.81% |
BBVA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although BBVA Banco's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of BBVA Banco's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of BBVA Banco fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of BBVA Banco's share price is at 55 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BBVA Banco, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.34 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.231 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3375 | Wall Street Target Price 22.875 |
Using BBVA Banco hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BBVA Banco Frances from the perspective of BBVA Banco response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BBVA Banco using BBVA Banco's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BBVA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BBVA Banco's stock price.
BBVA Banco Short Interest
An investor who is long BBVA Banco may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about BBVA Banco and may potentially protect profits, hedge BBVA Banco with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 15.8495 | Short Percent 0.0541 | Short Ratio 3.42 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.6 M | 50 Day MA 17.495 |
BBVA Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BBVA Banco Frances on the next trading day is expected to be 20.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.64.BBVA Banco Frances Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to BBVA Banco's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in BBVA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BBVA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BBVA Banco Frances. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of BBVA Banco's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about BBVA Banco.
BBVA Banco Implied Volatility | 1.26 |
BBVA Banco's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BBVA Banco Frances stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BBVA Banco's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BBVA Banco stock will not fluctuate a lot when BBVA Banco's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BBVA Banco Frances on the next trading day is expected to be 20.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.64. BBVA Banco after-hype prediction price | USD 19.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BBVA Banco to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current BBVA contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that BBVA Banco Frances will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0788% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With BBVA Banco trading at USD 19.45, that is roughly USD 0.0153 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating BBVA Banco's daily price movement you should consider acquiring BBVA Banco Frances options at the current volatility level of 1.26%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 BBVA Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast BBVA Banco's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in BBVA Banco's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for BBVA Banco stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current BBVA Banco's open interest, investors have to compare it to BBVA Banco's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of BBVA Banco is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in BBVA. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
BBVA Banco Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BBVA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BBVA using various technical indicators. When you analyze BBVA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BBVA Banco Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the BBVA Banco's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1993-06-30 | Previous Quarter 3.3 T | Current Value 3.8 T | Quarterly Volatility 652.7 B |
BBVA Banco Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of BBVA Banco Frances on the next trading day is expected to be 20.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50, mean absolute percentage error of 0.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.64.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BBVA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BBVA Banco's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BBVA Banco Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BBVA Banco | BBVA Banco Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
BBVA Banco Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BBVA Banco's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BBVA Banco's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.60 and 24.00, respectively. We have considered BBVA Banco's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BBVA Banco stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BBVA Banco stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.1267 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5022 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0291 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 30.6372 |
Predictive Modules for BBVA Banco
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BBVA Banco Frances. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BBVA Banco After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BBVA Banco at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BBVA Banco or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BBVA Banco, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BBVA Banco Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BBVA Banco's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BBVA Banco's historical news coverage. BBVA Banco's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.77 and 23.17, respectively. We have considered BBVA Banco's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BBVA Banco is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BBVA Banco Frances is based on 3 months time horizon.
BBVA Banco Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BBVA Banco is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BBVA Banco backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BBVA Banco, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 3.20 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
19.45 | 19.97 | 0.05 |
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BBVA Banco Hype Timeline
BBVA Banco Frances is currently traded for 19.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. BBVA is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 19.97. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on BBVA Banco is about 2969.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.48. The book value of the company was currently reported as 3.27. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.05. BBVA Banco Frances last dividend was issued on the 22nd of January 2026. The entity had 1138:1000 split on the 22nd of September 2009. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BBVA Banco to cross-verify your projections.BBVA Banco Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BBVA Banco's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BBVA Banco's future price movements. Getting to know how BBVA Banco's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BBVA Banco may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ASB | Associated Banc Corp | (0.07) | 6 per month | 1.17 | 0.08 | 3.31 | (1.59) | 8.15 | |
| UCB | United Community Banks | 0.02 | 11 per month | 1.06 | 0.14 | 2.80 | (1.36) | 8.46 | |
| FULT | Fulton Financial | 0.49 | 9 per month | 1.23 | 0.13 | 3.01 | (1.95) | 8.73 | |
| BANF | BancFirst | 2.46 | 7 per month | 1.84 | (0.01) | 2.78 | (1.86) | 11.50 | |
| INDB | Independent Bank | (2.22) | 8 per month | 1.00 | 0.16 | 2.97 | (1.83) | 8.01 | |
| FIBK | First Interstate BancSystem | (0.05) | 9 per month | 1.40 | 0.1 | 3.78 | (2.01) | 9.45 | |
| SNV | Sinovus Mining | 0.34 | 5 per month | 1.99 | 0.0009 | 2.93 | (2.49) | 9.63 | |
| RNST | Renasant | (0.15) | 6 per month | 1.25 | 0.05 | 2.86 | (2.14) | 7.57 | |
| SFBS | ServisFirst Bancshares | 0.15 | 37 per month | 1.43 | 0.1 | 3.57 | (2.47) | 20.01 |
Other Forecasting Options for BBVA Banco
For every potential investor in BBVA, whether a beginner or expert, BBVA Banco's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BBVA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BBVA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BBVA Banco's price trends.BBVA Banco Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BBVA Banco stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BBVA Banco could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BBVA Banco by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BBVA Banco Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BBVA Banco stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BBVA Banco shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BBVA Banco stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BBVA Banco Frances entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
BBVA Banco Risk Indicators
The analysis of BBVA Banco's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BBVA Banco's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bbva stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.51 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.38 | |||
| Variance | 11.44 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.09 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.52 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.22) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BBVA Banco
The number of cover stories for BBVA Banco depends on current market conditions and BBVA Banco's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BBVA Banco is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BBVA Banco's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BBVA Banco Short Properties
BBVA Banco's future price predictability will typically decrease when BBVA Banco's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BBVA Banco Frances often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BBVA Banco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BBVA Banco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 204.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.2 T |
Additional Tools for BBVA Stock Analysis
When running BBVA Banco's price analysis, check to measure BBVA Banco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BBVA Banco is operating at the current time. Most of BBVA Banco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BBVA Banco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BBVA Banco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BBVA Banco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.