Banco Bradesco Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BBD Stock  USD 3.44  0.05  1.43%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Banco Bradesco SA on the next trading day is expected to be 3.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.73. Banco Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Banco Bradesco stock prices and determine the direction of Banco Bradesco SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Banco Bradesco's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Banco Bradesco's share price is at 55 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Banco Bradesco, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 55

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Banco Bradesco's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Banco Bradesco and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Banco Bradesco's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Banco Bradesco SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Banco Bradesco's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.134
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.1173
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.4127
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.5068
Wall Street Target Price
3.72
Using Banco Bradesco hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Banco Bradesco SA from the perspective of Banco Bradesco response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Banco Bradesco using Banco Bradesco's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Banco using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Banco Bradesco's stock price.

Banco Bradesco Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Banco Bradesco's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Banco. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Banco Bradesco stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
3.0016
Short Percent
0.0079
Short Ratio
1.12
Shares Short Prior Month
56.3 M
50 Day MA
3.4716

Banco Bradesco SA Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Banco Bradesco's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Banco. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Banco can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Banco Bradesco SA. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Banco Bradesco's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Banco Bradesco.

Banco Bradesco Implied Volatility

    
  0.96  
Banco Bradesco's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Banco Bradesco SA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Banco Bradesco's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Banco Bradesco stock will not fluctuate a lot when Banco Bradesco's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Banco Bradesco SA on the next trading day is expected to be 3.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.73.

Banco Bradesco after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.43  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banco Bradesco to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Banco Bradesco's Receivables Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.17, whereas Fixed Asset Turnover is forecasted to decline to 14.14. . As of January 9, 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 11.3 B. In addition to that, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to decline to about 11.5 B.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Banco Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Banco Bradesco's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Banco Bradesco's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Banco Bradesco stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Banco Bradesco's open interest, investors have to compare it to Banco Bradesco's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Banco Bradesco is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Banco. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Banco Bradesco Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Banco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Banco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Banco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Banco Bradesco Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Banco Bradesco's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2000-12-31
Previous Quarter
159.5 B
Current Value
159.3 B
Quarterly Volatility
54.2 B
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Banco Bradesco is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Banco Bradesco SA value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Banco Bradesco Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Banco Bradesco SA on the next trading day is expected to be 3.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Banco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Banco Bradesco's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Banco Bradesco Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Banco BradescoBanco Bradesco Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Banco Bradesco Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Banco Bradesco's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Banco Bradesco's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.45 and 5.73, respectively. We have considered Banco Bradesco's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.44
3.59
Expected Value
5.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Banco Bradesco stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Banco Bradesco stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.9676
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0611
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0179
SAESum of the absolute errors3.7267
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Banco Bradesco SA. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Banco Bradesco. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Banco Bradesco

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco Bradesco SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.293.435.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.423.565.70
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.393.724.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Banco Bradesco. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Banco Bradesco's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Banco Bradesco's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Banco Bradesco SA.

Other Forecasting Options for Banco Bradesco

For every potential investor in Banco, whether a beginner or expert, Banco Bradesco's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Banco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Banco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Banco Bradesco's price trends.

Banco Bradesco Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Banco Bradesco stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Banco Bradesco could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Banco Bradesco by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Banco Bradesco SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Banco Bradesco's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Banco Bradesco's current price.

Banco Bradesco Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Banco Bradesco stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Banco Bradesco shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Banco Bradesco stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Banco Bradesco SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Banco Bradesco Risk Indicators

The analysis of Banco Bradesco's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Banco Bradesco's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting banco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Banco Bradesco SA offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Banco Bradesco's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Banco Bradesco Sa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Banco Bradesco Sa Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banco Bradesco to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Banco Bradesco. If investors know Banco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Banco Bradesco listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.134
Dividend Share
1.361
Earnings Share
0.36
Revenue Per Share
8.31
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.008
The market value of Banco Bradesco SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Banco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Banco Bradesco's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Banco Bradesco's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Banco Bradesco's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Banco Bradesco's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Banco Bradesco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Banco Bradesco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Banco Bradesco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.