Banco Bradesco Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| BBD Stock | USD 4.16 0.02 0.48% |
Banco Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Banco Bradesco stock prices and determine the direction of Banco Bradesco SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Banco Bradesco's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Banco Bradesco's share price is above 70 at the present time suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Banco, making its price go up or down. Momentum 73
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.134 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1173 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4122 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.5015 | Wall Street Target Price 3.7 |
Using Banco Bradesco hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Banco Bradesco SA from the perspective of Banco Bradesco response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Banco Bradesco using Banco Bradesco's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Banco using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Banco Bradesco's stock price.
Banco Bradesco Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Banco Bradesco's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Banco. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Banco Bradesco stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 3.1108 | Short Percent 0.0062 | Short Ratio 1.25 | Shares Short Prior Month 41.6 M | 50 Day MA 3.5218 |
Banco Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Banco Bradesco SA on the next trading day is expected to be 4.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.06.Banco Bradesco SA Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Banco Bradesco's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Banco. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Banco can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Banco Bradesco SA. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Banco Bradesco's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Banco Bradesco.
Banco Bradesco Implied Volatility | 1.46 |
Banco Bradesco's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Banco Bradesco SA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Banco Bradesco's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Banco Bradesco stock will not fluctuate a lot when Banco Bradesco's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Banco Bradesco SA on the next trading day is expected to be 4.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.06. Banco Bradesco after-hype prediction price | USD 4.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banco Bradesco to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Banco contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Banco Bradesco SA will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0913% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Banco Bradesco trading at USD 4.16, that is roughly USD 0.003796 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Banco Bradesco's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Banco Bradesco SA options at the current volatility level of 1.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Banco Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Banco Bradesco's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Banco Bradesco's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Banco Bradesco stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Banco Bradesco's open interest, investors have to compare it to Banco Bradesco's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Banco Bradesco is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Banco. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Banco Bradesco Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Banco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Banco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Banco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Banco Bradesco Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Banco Bradesco SA on the next trading day is expected to be 4.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Banco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Banco Bradesco's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Banco Bradesco Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Banco Bradesco | Banco Bradesco Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Banco Bradesco Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Banco Bradesco's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Banco Bradesco's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.98 and 6.34, respectively. We have considered Banco Bradesco's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Banco Bradesco stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Banco Bradesco stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.6241 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0207 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0688 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0195 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.06 |
Predictive Modules for Banco Bradesco
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco Bradesco SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Banco Bradesco After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Banco Bradesco at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Banco Bradesco or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Banco Bradesco, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Banco Bradesco Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Banco Bradesco's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Banco Bradesco's historical news coverage. Banco Bradesco's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.99 and 6.33, respectively. We have considered Banco Bradesco's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Banco Bradesco is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Banco Bradesco SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Banco Bradesco Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Banco Bradesco is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Banco Bradesco backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Banco Bradesco, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 2.18 | 0.22 | 0.04 | 25 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 25 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.16 | 4.16 | 0.00 |
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Banco Bradesco Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Banco Bradesco SA is traded for 4.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Banco is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on Banco Bradesco is about 2038.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.20. About 28.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.3. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Banco Bradesco SA has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.59. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of February 2026. The firm had 6:5 split on the 1st of April 2019. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 25 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banco Bradesco to cross-verify your projections.Banco Bradesco Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Banco Bradesco's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Banco Bradesco's future price movements. Getting to know how Banco Bradesco's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Banco Bradesco may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BSBR | Banco Santander Brasil | (0.10) | 7 per month | 1.75 | 0.20 | 3.66 | (2.09) | 10.37 | |
| BMA | Banco Macro SA | 1.30 | 20 per month | 1.26 | 0.18 | 7.48 | (3.17) | 41.26 | |
| LYG | Lloyds Banking Group | 0.04 | 7 per month | 0.98 | 0.23 | 2.84 | (2.11) | 6.27 | |
| GGAL | Grupo Financiero Galicia | 1.53 | 7 per month | 1.81 | 0.14 | 7.30 | (3.58) | 43.45 | |
| SUPV | Grupo Supervielle SA | (0.41) | 8 per month | 2.50 | 0.15 | 8.99 | (4.61) | 54.23 | |
| BBAR | BBVA Banco Frances | (0.01) | 29 per month | 1.86 | 0.20 | 8.68 | (4.44) | 46.86 | |
| ITUB | Itau Unibanco Banco | 0.05 | 9 per month | 1.48 | 0.24 | 3.23 | (2.15) | 9.71 | |
| BSAC | Banco Santander Chile | 0.16 | 11 per month | 1.15 | 0.24 | 2.85 | (2.33) | 5.90 | |
| BCH | Banco De Chile | (0.23) | 9 per month | 1.27 | 0.28 | 2.72 | (2.69) | 6.98 | |
| BBDO | Banco Bradesco SA | (0.66) | 4 per month | 1.58 | 0.16 | 4.25 | (3.44) | 8.84 | |
| KEY-PI | KeyCorp | (0.66) | 6 per month | 0.16 | (0.14) | 0.49 | (0.36) | 1.65 | |
| LLDTF | Lloyds Banking Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.73 | 0.12 | 10.40 | (5.51) | 24.58 | |
| DB | Deutsche Bank AG | 0.38 | 6 per month | 1.66 | 0.12 | 3.16 | (3.03) | 9.04 |
Other Forecasting Options for Banco Bradesco
For every potential investor in Banco, whether a beginner or expert, Banco Bradesco's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Banco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Banco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Banco Bradesco's price trends.Banco Bradesco Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Banco Bradesco stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Banco Bradesco could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Banco Bradesco by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Banco Bradesco Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Banco Bradesco stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Banco Bradesco shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Banco Bradesco stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Banco Bradesco SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Banco Bradesco Risk Indicators
The analysis of Banco Bradesco's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Banco Bradesco's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting banco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.2 | |||
| Variance | 4.85 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.11 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.0 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.84) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Banco Bradesco
The number of cover stories for Banco Bradesco depends on current market conditions and Banco Bradesco's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Banco Bradesco is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Banco Bradesco's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Banco Bradesco Short Properties
Banco Bradesco's future price predictability will typically decrease when Banco Bradesco's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Banco Bradesco SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Banco Bradesco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco Bradesco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 292.8 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banco Bradesco to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Will Diversified Banks sector continue expanding? Could Banco diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Banco Bradesco. Projected growth potential of Banco fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Banco Bradesco data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.134 | Dividend Share 1.361 | Earnings Share 0.37 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.008 |
Banco Bradesco SA's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Banco's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Banco Bradesco's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Banco Bradesco's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Banco Bradesco's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Banco Bradesco should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Banco Bradesco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.