Bath Body Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| BBWI Stock | USD 21.80 1.07 5.16% |
Bath Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bath Body's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026, the value of RSI of Bath Body's share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bath Body, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.9335 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.5796 | Wall Street Target Price 24.6154 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.3972 |
Using Bath Body hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bath Body Works from the perspective of Bath Body response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bath Body using Bath Body's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bath using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bath Body's stock price.
Bath Body Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Bath Body's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Bath. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Bath Body stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 26.4176 | Short Percent 0.0796 | Short Ratio 2.35 | Shares Short Prior Month 11.9 M | 50 Day MA 20.237 |
Bath Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bath Body Works on the next trading day is expected to be 21.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.35.Bath Body Works Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Bath Body's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Bath. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Bath can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Bath Body Works. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Bath Body's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Bath Body.
Bath Body Implied Volatility | 0.87 |
Bath Body's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bath Body Works stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bath Body's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bath Body stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bath Body's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bath Body Works on the next trading day is expected to be 21.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.35. Bath Body after-hype prediction price | USD 21.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bath Body to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Bath contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Bath Body Works will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0544% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Bath Body trading at USD 21.8, that is roughly USD 0.0119 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Bath Body's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Bath Body Works options at the current volatility level of 0.87%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Bath Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Bath Body's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Bath Body's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Bath Body stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Bath Body's open interest, investors have to compare it to Bath Body's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Bath Body is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Bath. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Bath Body Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bath price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bath using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bath charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bath Body Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bath Body Works on the next trading day is expected to be 21.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62, mean absolute percentage error of 1.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bath Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bath Body's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bath Body Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bath Body | Bath Body Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Bath Body Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bath Body's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bath Body's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.36 and 26.25, respectively. We have considered Bath Body's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bath Body stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bath Body stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.4697 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.039 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6161 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0325 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 36.35 |
Predictive Modules for Bath Body
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bath Body Works. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bath Body's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bath Body After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bath Body at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bath Body or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bath Body, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bath Body Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bath Body's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bath Body's historical news coverage. Bath Body's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.35 and 26.25, respectively. We have considered Bath Body's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bath Body is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bath Body Works is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bath Body Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bath Body is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bath Body backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bath Body, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 4.45 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
21.80 | 21.80 | 0.00 |
|
Bath Body Hype Timeline
Bath Body Works is currently traded for 21.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Bath is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bath Body is about 975.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.78. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.05. Bath Body Works last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2025. The entity had 1237:1000 split on the 3rd of August 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bath Body to cross-verify your projections.Bath Body Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bath Body's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bath Body's future price movements. Getting to know how Bath Body's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bath Body may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BBBY | Bed Bath Beyond | (1.21) | 29 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.75 | (6.04) | 19.64 | |
| URBN | Urban Outfitters | 0.89 | 9 per month | 3.12 | 0.02 | 5.28 | (4.20) | 25.85 | |
| M | Macys Inc | 1.41 | 11 per month | 2.01 | 0.02 | 5.52 | (3.68) | 14.51 | |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive | (6.44) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.58 | (2.66) | 11.48 | |
| GNTX | Gentex | (0.15) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.63 | (2.24) | 7.12 | |
| TMHC | Taylor Morn Home | (0.59) | 7 per month | 1.33 | (0.0004) | 3.92 | (2.69) | 10.34 | |
| REYN | Reynolds Consumer Products | (0.11) | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.25 | (1.91) | 9.71 | |
| LCID | Lucid Group | 1.50 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.28 | (7.29) | 21.68 | |
| ETSY | Etsy Inc | (1.07) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.69 | (5.03) | 14.29 | |
| MTH | Meritage | 1.21 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 3.46 | (2.97) | 13.79 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bath Body
For every potential investor in Bath, whether a beginner or expert, Bath Body's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bath Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bath. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bath Body's price trends.Bath Body Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bath Body stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bath Body could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bath Body by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bath Body Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bath Body stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bath Body shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bath Body stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bath Body Works entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Bath Body Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bath Body's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bath Body's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bath stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.38 | |||
| Variance | 19.17 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bath Body
The number of cover stories for Bath Body depends on current market conditions and Bath Body's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bath Body is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bath Body's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Bath Body Short Properties
Bath Body's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bath Body's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bath Body Works often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bath Body's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bath Body's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 221 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 674 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bath Body to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is there potential for Other Specialty Retail market expansion? Will Bath introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bath Body. Projected growth potential of Bath fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Bath Body listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share 3.4 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Investors evaluate Bath Body Works using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Bath Body's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Bath Body's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Bath Body's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bath Body should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Bath Body's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.