Boise Cascad Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BCC Stock  USD 127.97  0.49  0.38%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Boise Cascad Llc on the next trading day is expected to be 138.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 151.80. Boise Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Boise Cascad stock prices and determine the direction of Boise Cascad Llc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Boise Cascad's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Boise Cascad's Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 3.05, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 6.44. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 1 B, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 32 M.

Open Interest Against 2025-04-17 Boise Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Boise Cascad's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Boise Cascad's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Boise Cascad stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Boise Cascad's open interest, investors have to compare it to Boise Cascad's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Boise Cascad is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Boise. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Boise Cascad Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Boise Cascad's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
922.1 M
Current Value
761.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
347.8 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Boise Cascad is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Boise Cascad Llc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Boise Cascad Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Boise Cascad Llc on the next trading day is expected to be 138.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.49, mean absolute percentage error of 9.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 151.80.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Boise Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Boise Cascad's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Boise Cascad Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Boise CascadBoise Cascad Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Boise Cascad Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Boise Cascad's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Boise Cascad's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 136.74 and 140.74, respectively. We have considered Boise Cascad's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
127.97
136.74
Downside
138.74
Expected Value
140.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Boise Cascad stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Boise Cascad stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.3522
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.4885
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0185
SAESum of the absolute errors151.8011
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Boise Cascad Llc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Boise Cascad. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Boise Cascad

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boise Cascad Llc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Boise Cascad's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
125.95127.97129.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
115.17131.03133.05
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
131.80144.83160.76
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.382.392.42
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Boise Cascad

For every potential investor in Boise, whether a beginner or expert, Boise Cascad's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Boise Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Boise. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Boise Cascad's price trends.

Boise Cascad Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Boise Cascad stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Boise Cascad could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Boise Cascad by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Boise Cascad Llc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Boise Cascad's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Boise Cascad's current price.

Boise Cascad Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Boise Cascad stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Boise Cascad shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Boise Cascad stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Boise Cascad Llc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Boise Cascad Risk Indicators

The analysis of Boise Cascad's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Boise Cascad's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting boise stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Boise Cascad Llc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Boise Cascad's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Boise Cascad Llc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Boise Cascad Llc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boise Cascad to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Paper & Forest Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Boise Cascad. If investors know Boise will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Boise Cascad listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.35)
Dividend Share
0.81
Earnings Share
10.17
Revenue Per Share
172.715
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of Boise Cascad Llc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Boise that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Boise Cascad's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Boise Cascad's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Boise Cascad's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Boise Cascad's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Boise Cascad's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Boise Cascad is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Boise Cascad's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.