Boise Cascad Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| BCC Stock | USD 79.50 1.35 1.67% |
Boise Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Boise Cascad stock prices and determine the direction of Boise Cascad Llc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Boise Cascad's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Boise Cascad's share price is at 52 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Boise Cascad, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.75) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.54 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.3983 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.9417 | Wall Street Target Price 91.3333 |
Using Boise Cascad hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Boise Cascad Llc from the perspective of Boise Cascad response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Boise Cascad using Boise Cascad's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Boise using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Boise Cascad's stock price.
Boise Cascad Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Boise Cascad's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Boise. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Boise Cascad stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 82.4162 | Short Percent 0.0451 | Short Ratio 2.73 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.2 M | 50 Day MA 76.2392 |
Boise Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Boise Cascad Llc on the next trading day is expected to be 76.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 103.57.Boise Cascad Llc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Boise Cascad's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Boise. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Boise can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Boise Cascad Llc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Boise Cascad's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Boise Cascad.
Boise Cascad Implied Volatility | 0.54 |
Boise Cascad's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Boise Cascad Llc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Boise Cascad's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Boise Cascad stock will not fluctuate a lot when Boise Cascad's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Boise Cascad Llc on the next trading day is expected to be 76.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 103.57. Boise Cascad after-hype prediction price | USD 80.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boise Cascad to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Boise contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Boise Cascad Llc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Boise Cascad trading at USD 79.5, that is roughly USD 0.0268 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Boise Cascad's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Boise Cascad Llc options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Boise Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Boise Cascad's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Boise Cascad's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Boise Cascad stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Boise Cascad's open interest, investors have to compare it to Boise Cascad's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Boise Cascad is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Boise. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Boise Cascad Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Boise price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Boise using various technical indicators. When you analyze Boise charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Boise Cascad Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Boise Cascad's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 481 M | Current Value 511.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 338.6 M |
Boise Cascad Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Boise Cascad Llc on the next trading day is expected to be 76.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.70, mean absolute percentage error of 4.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 103.57.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Boise Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Boise Cascad's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Boise Cascad Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Boise Cascad | Boise Cascad Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Boise Cascad Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Boise Cascad's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Boise Cascad's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 74.19 and 78.90, respectively. We have considered Boise Cascad's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Boise Cascad stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Boise Cascad stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.5315 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.6979 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.023 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 103.5735 |
Predictive Modules for Boise Cascad
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boise Cascad Llc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Boise Cascad's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Boise Cascad After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Boise Cascad at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Boise Cascad or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Boise Cascad, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Boise Cascad Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Boise Cascad's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Boise Cascad's historical news coverage. Boise Cascad's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 78.06 and 82.78, respectively. We have considered Boise Cascad's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Boise Cascad is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Boise Cascad Llc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Boise Cascad Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Boise Cascad is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Boise Cascad backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Boise Cascad, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 2.36 | 0.43 | 0.26 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
79.50 | 80.42 | 0.53 |
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Boise Cascad Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Boise Cascad Llc is traded for 79.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.43, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.26. Boise is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 80.42. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 143.9%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.53%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Boise Cascad is about 235.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 79.76. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.41. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Boise Cascad Llc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.09. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.07. The firm last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. Boise Cascad had 1:1 split on the August 10, 2009. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boise Cascad to cross-verify your projections.Boise Cascad Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Boise Cascad's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Boise Cascad's future price movements. Getting to know how Boise Cascad's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Boise Cascad may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TGLS | Tecnoglass | (0.18) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.42 | (5.16) | 10.44 | |
| TTAM | Titan America SA | (0.29) | 8 per month | 1.78 | 0.10 | 3.58 | (2.56) | 8.96 | |
| FSM | Fortuna Silver Mines | 1.72 | 34 per month | 1.78 | 0.19 | 4.51 | (3.55) | 14.17 | |
| CGAU | Centerra Gold | (0.16) | 10 per month | 1.53 | 0.31 | 5.00 | (2.88) | 14.92 | |
| MEOH | Methanex | 0.30 | 10 per month | 1.47 | 0.14 | 3.94 | (2.61) | 21.41 | |
| USAS | Americas Silver Corp | (0.04) | 8 per month | 3.74 | 0.24 | 9.55 | (6.20) | 23.85 | |
| TMC | TMC the metals | (0.17) | 6 per month | 5.83 | 0.06 | 13.46 | (9.91) | 37.07 | |
| HWKN | Hawkins | (3.37) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.29 | (4.40) | 10.09 | |
| MTRN | Materion | 5.23 | 8 per month | 3.23 | 0.0001 | 3.42 | (2.60) | 15.09 | |
| WDFC | WD 40 Company | 6.97 | 7 per month | 1.90 | 0.02 | 2.39 | (2.98) | 10.75 |
Other Forecasting Options for Boise Cascad
For every potential investor in Boise, whether a beginner or expert, Boise Cascad's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Boise Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Boise. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Boise Cascad's price trends.Boise Cascad Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Boise Cascad stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Boise Cascad could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Boise Cascad by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Boise Cascad Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Boise Cascad stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Boise Cascad shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Boise Cascad stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Boise Cascad Llc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Boise Cascad Risk Indicators
The analysis of Boise Cascad's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Boise Cascad's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting boise stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.33 | |||
| Variance | 5.41 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.35 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.94 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.03) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Boise Cascad
The number of cover stories for Boise Cascad depends on current market conditions and Boise Cascad's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Boise Cascad is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Boise Cascad's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Boise Cascad Short Properties
Boise Cascad's future price predictability will typically decrease when Boise Cascad's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Boise Cascad Llc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Boise Cascad's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boise Cascad's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 713.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boise Cascad to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Will Paper & Forest Products sector continue expanding? Could Boise diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Boise Cascad. Projected growth potential of Boise fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Boise Cascad data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.75) | Dividend Share 0.85 | Earnings Share 5.07 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
Understanding Boise Cascad Llc requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Boise's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Boise Cascad's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Boise Cascad's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Boise Cascad's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Boise Cascad should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Boise Cascad's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.