Banco Santander Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

BCDRF Stock  USD 12.51  0.26  2.12%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Banco Santander SA on the next trading day is expected to be 12.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.85. Banco Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Banco Santander's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 22nd of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Banco Santander's share price is at 59 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Banco Santander, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 59

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Banco Santander's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Banco Santander and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Banco Santander's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Banco Santander SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Banco Santander hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Banco Santander SA from the perspective of Banco Santander response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Banco Santander SA on the next trading day is expected to be 12.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.85.

Banco Santander after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.51  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banco Santander to cross-verify your projections.

Banco Santander Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Banco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Banco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Banco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Banco Santander is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Banco Santander Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Banco Santander SA on the next trading day is expected to be 12.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Banco Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Banco Santander's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Banco Santander Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Banco SantanderBanco Santander Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Banco Santander Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Banco Santander's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Banco Santander's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.55 and 15.21, respectively. We have considered Banco Santander's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.51
12.38
Expected Value
15.21
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Banco Santander pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Banco Santander pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.3274
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0717
MADMean absolute deviation0.2686
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0239
SAESum of the absolute errors15.85
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Banco Santander SA price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Banco Santander. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Banco Santander

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco Santander SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.6812.5115.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6814.5117.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.3111.9412.58
Details

Banco Santander After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Banco Santander at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Banco Santander or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Banco Santander, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Banco Santander Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Banco Santander's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Banco Santander's historical news coverage. Banco Santander's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.68 and 15.34, respectively. We have considered Banco Santander's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.51
12.51
After-hype Price
15.34
Upside
Banco Santander is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Banco Santander SA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Banco Santander Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Banco Santander is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Banco Santander backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Banco Santander, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.48 
2.83
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.51
12.51
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Banco Santander Hype Timeline

Banco Santander SA is currently traded for 12.51. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Banco is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.48%. %. The volatility of related hype on Banco Santander is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.51. About 31.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.49. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Banco Santander SA last dividend was issued on the 31st of October 2022. The entity had 1021:1000 split on the 20th of October 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banco Santander to cross-verify your projections.

Banco Santander Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Banco Santander's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Banco Santander's future price movements. Getting to know how Banco Santander's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Banco Santander may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BACHFBank of China 0.00 0 per month 3.48  0.02  7.27 (6.90) 20.39 
BBVXFBanco Bilbao Vizcaya 0.00 0 per month 2.02  0.14  4.52 (3.34) 9.25 
MBFJFMitsubishi UFJ Financial 0.00 0 per month 2.88  0.08  5.35 (4.10) 15.91 
BACHYBank of China 0.00 0 per month 1.03 (0.03) 1.54 (1.17) 5.91 
ALIZFAllianz SE 0.00 0 per month 1.55  0.03  3.57 (2.74) 8.51 
CIHHFChina Merchants Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 0.00  0.00  3.78 
CIHKYChina Merchants Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.21 (2.45) 5.78 
PIAIFPing An Insurance 0.00 0 per month 1.85  0.12  5.08 (4.58) 19.13 
SMFNFSumitomo Mitsui Financial 0.00 0 per month 2.48  0.13  5.72 (4.91) 13.02 
CILJFChina Life Insurance 0.00 0 per month 2.76  0.14  5.85 (4.35) 12.38 

Other Forecasting Options for Banco Santander

For every potential investor in Banco, whether a beginner or expert, Banco Santander's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Banco Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Banco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Banco Santander's price trends.

Banco Santander Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Banco Santander pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Banco Santander could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Banco Santander by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Banco Santander Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Banco Santander pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Banco Santander shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Banco Santander pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Banco Santander SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Banco Santander Risk Indicators

The analysis of Banco Santander's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Banco Santander's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting banco pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Banco Santander

The number of cover stories for Banco Santander depends on current market conditions and Banco Santander's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Banco Santander is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Banco Santander's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Banco Pink Sheet

When determining whether Banco Santander SA offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Banco Santander's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Banco Santander Sa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Banco Santander Sa Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banco Santander to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Banco Santander's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Banco Santander is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Banco Santander's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.