Bowler Metcalf Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| BCF Stock | 1,356 4.00 0.30% |
Bowler Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Bowler Metcalf stock prices and determine the direction of Bowler Metcalf's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Bowler Metcalf's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Bowler Metcalf's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bowler Metcalf hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bowler Metcalf from the perspective of Bowler Metcalf response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bowler Metcalf on the next trading day is expected to be 1,356 with a mean absolute deviation of 38.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,298. Bowler Metcalf after-hype prediction price | ZAC 1356.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bowler |
Bowler Metcalf Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bowler price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bowler using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bowler charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Bowler Metcalf Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bowler Metcalf on the next trading day is expected to be 1,356 with a mean absolute deviation of 38.95, mean absolute percentage error of 3,746, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,298.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bowler Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bowler Metcalf's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bowler Metcalf Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bowler Metcalf | Bowler Metcalf Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Bowler Metcalf Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bowler Metcalf's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bowler Metcalf's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,352 and 1,360, respectively. We have considered Bowler Metcalf's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bowler Metcalf stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bowler Metcalf stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.6632 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.7458 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 38.9492 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0283 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2298.0 |
Predictive Modules for Bowler Metcalf
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bowler Metcalf. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bowler Metcalf After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bowler Metcalf at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bowler Metcalf or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bowler Metcalf, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bowler Metcalf Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bowler Metcalf's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bowler Metcalf's historical news coverage. Bowler Metcalf's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,352 and 1,360, respectively. We have considered Bowler Metcalf's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bowler Metcalf is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bowler Metcalf is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bowler Metcalf Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bowler Metcalf is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bowler Metcalf backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bowler Metcalf, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 4.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1,356 | 1,356 | 0.00 |
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Bowler Metcalf Hype Timeline
Bowler Metcalf is currently traded for 1,356on Johannesburg Exchange of South Africa. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bowler is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bowler Metcalf is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,356. About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.92. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bowler Metcalf last dividend was issued on the 22nd of March 2023. The entity had 3:1 split on the 19th of August 1996. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bowler Metcalf to cross-verify your projections.Bowler Metcalf Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bowler Metcalf's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bowler Metcalf's future price movements. Getting to know how Bowler Metcalf's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bowler Metcalf may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BRT | Brimstone Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 4.17 | (2.60) | 16.49 | |
| BOX | Boxer Retail | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.12 | (3.10) | 6.04 | |
| LHC | Life Healthcare | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.85 | (2.44) | 10.52 | |
| CLH | City Lodge Hotels | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.49 | 0.02 | 3.07 | (2.78) | 7.74 | |
| WBC | We Buy Cars | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.30 | (3.45) | 11.26 | |
| RNI | Reinet Investments SCA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.49 | (1.85) | 4.99 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bowler Metcalf
For every potential investor in Bowler, whether a beginner or expert, Bowler Metcalf's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bowler Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bowler. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bowler Metcalf's price trends.Bowler Metcalf Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bowler Metcalf stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bowler Metcalf could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bowler Metcalf by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bowler Metcalf Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bowler Metcalf stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bowler Metcalf shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bowler Metcalf stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bowler Metcalf entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Bowler Metcalf Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bowler Metcalf's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bowler Metcalf's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bowler stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.93 | |||
| Variance | 24.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 36.41 | |||
| Semi Variance | 15.39 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.77) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bowler Metcalf
The number of cover stories for Bowler Metcalf depends on current market conditions and Bowler Metcalf's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bowler Metcalf is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bowler Metcalf's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bowler Metcalf Short Properties
Bowler Metcalf's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bowler Metcalf's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bowler Metcalf often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bowler Metcalf's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bowler Metcalf's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 71.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 180.9 M |
Other Information on Investing in Bowler Stock
Bowler Metcalf financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bowler Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bowler with respect to the benefits of owning Bowler Metcalf security.