Brainstorm Cell Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

BCLI Stock  USD 1.74  0.12  7.41%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Brainstorm Cell Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 1.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.12. Brainstorm Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Brainstorm Cell's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current Payables Turnover is estimated to decrease to 0.05. The current Receivables Turnover is estimated to decrease to -0.15. The Brainstorm Cell's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 45.2 M, while Net Loss is forecasted to increase to (20.8 M).
Brainstorm Cell simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Brainstorm Cell Therapeutics are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Brainstorm Cell Ther prices get older.

Brainstorm Cell Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Brainstorm Cell Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 1.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Brainstorm Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Brainstorm Cell's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Brainstorm Cell Stock Forecast Pattern

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Brainstorm Cell Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Brainstorm Cell's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Brainstorm Cell's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 7.90, respectively. We have considered Brainstorm Cell's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.74
1.74
Expected Value
7.90
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Brainstorm Cell stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Brainstorm Cell stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.6798
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0403
MADMean absolute deviation0.1187
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0501
SAESum of the absolute errors7.12
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Brainstorm Cell Therapeutics forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Brainstorm Cell observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Brainstorm Cell

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brainstorm Cell Ther. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.457.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.608.76
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.785.255.83
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.58-0.58-0.58
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Brainstorm Cell

For every potential investor in Brainstorm, whether a beginner or expert, Brainstorm Cell's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Brainstorm Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Brainstorm. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Brainstorm Cell's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Brainstorm Cell Ther Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Brainstorm Cell's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Brainstorm Cell's current price.

Brainstorm Cell Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Brainstorm Cell stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Brainstorm Cell shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Brainstorm Cell stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Brainstorm Cell Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Brainstorm Cell Risk Indicators

The analysis of Brainstorm Cell's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Brainstorm Cell's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brainstorm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Brainstorm Cell Ther offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Brainstorm Cell's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Brainstorm Cell Therapeutics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Brainstorm Cell Therapeutics Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brainstorm Cell to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brainstorm Cell. If investors know Brainstorm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Brainstorm Cell listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(3.45)
Return On Assets
(1.78)
Return On Equity
(11.22)
The market value of Brainstorm Cell Ther is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Brainstorm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Brainstorm Cell's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Brainstorm Cell's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Brainstorm Cell's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Brainstorm Cell's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Brainstorm Cell's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brainstorm Cell is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brainstorm Cell's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.