Better Home Stock Forward View

BETR Stock   26.87  3.44  11.35%   
Better Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Better Home's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Better Home's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Better Home fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength indicator of Better Home's share price is approaching 34 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Better Home, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 34

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Better Home's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Better Home and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Better Home's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Better Home Finance, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Better Home's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(1.75)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(8.68)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(2.04)
Wall Street Target Price
40
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(1.79)
Using Better Home hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Better Home Finance from the perspective of Better Home response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Better Home using Better Home's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Better using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Better Home's stock price.

Better Home Short Interest

An investor who is long Better Home may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Better Home and may potentially protect profits, hedge Better Home with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
31.3019
Short Percent
0.296
Short Ratio
3.89
Shares Short Prior Month
1.7 M
50 Day MA
39.045

Better Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Better Home Finance on the next trading day is expected to be 25.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 158.02.

Better Home Finance Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Better Home's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Better. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Better can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Better Home Finance. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Better Home's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Better Home.

Better Home Implied Volatility

    
  1.33  
Better Home's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Better Home Finance stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Better Home's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Better Home stock will not fluctuate a lot when Better Home's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Better Home Finance on the next trading day is expected to be 25.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 158.02.

Better Home after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 26.87  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Better Home to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Better contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Better Home Finance will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0831% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Better Home trading at USD 26.87, that is roughly USD 0.0223 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Better Home's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Better Home Finance options at the current volatility level of 1.33%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Better Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Better Home's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Better Home's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Better Home stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Better Home's open interest, investors have to compare it to Better Home's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Better Home is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Better. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Better Home Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Better price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Better using various technical indicators. When you analyze Better charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Better Home Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Better Home's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2015-09-30
Previous Quarter
87.1 M
Current Value
86.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
164.5 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Better Home is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Better Home Finance value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Better Home Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Better Home Finance on the next trading day is expected to be 25.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.59, mean absolute percentage error of 10.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 158.02.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Better Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Better Home's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Better Home Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Better Home  Better Home Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Better Home Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Better Home's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Better Home's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.05 and 31.07, respectively. We have considered Better Home's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.87
25.06
Expected Value
31.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Better Home stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Better Home stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.4438
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.5905
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0613
SAESum of the absolute errors158.022
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Better Home Finance. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Better Home. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Better Home

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Better Home Finance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Better Home's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.8626.8732.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.7925.8031.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
27.2633.7540.23
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
36.4040.0044.40
Details

Better Home After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Better Home at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Better Home or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Better Home, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Better Home Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Better Home's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Better Home's historical news coverage. Better Home's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.86 and 32.88, respectively. We have considered Better Home's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
26.87
26.87
After-hype Price
32.88
Upside
Better Home is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Better Home Finance is based on 3 months time horizon.

Better Home Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Better Home is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Better Home backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Better Home, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.26 
6.01
  0.68 
  0.05 
8 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
26.87
26.87
0.00 
1,113  
Notes

Better Home Hype Timeline

Better Home Finance is currently traded for 26.87. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.68, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Better is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Better Home is about 16243.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.92. About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.55. Better Home Finance recorded a loss per share of 12.18. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:50 split on the 19th of August 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Better Home to cross-verify your projections.

Better Home Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Better Home's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Better Home's future price movements. Getting to know how Better Home's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Better Home may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LDILoandepot(0.01)9 per month 0.00 (0.11) 7.47 (7.64) 32.35 
ECPGEncore Capital Group 0.08 1 per month 1.65  0.15  4.02 (3.07) 14.34 
BTBTBit Digital(0.03)10 per month 0.00 (0.20) 7.94 (8.00) 18.11 
GHLDGuild Holdings Co(0.04)7 per month 0.00  0.12  1.97 (0.35) 221.47 
JCAPJefferson Capital Common(0.36)8 per month 2.37  0.07  4.12 (2.98) 17.08 
LULufax Holding 0.03 6 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.49 (4.04) 16.24 
ROOTRoot Inc 0.67 12 per month 0.00 (0.07) 6.33 (6.51) 21.60 
SIGISelective Insurance Group(0.81)9 per month 0.93  0.10  2.12 (1.57) 5.53 
HRZNHorizon Technology Finance 0.04 7 per month 0.76  0.13  2.53 (1.59) 11.64 
DCOMDime Community Bancshares 0.80 8 per month 1.26  0.19  3.94 (2.56) 11.73 

Other Forecasting Options for Better Home

For every potential investor in Better, whether a beginner or expert, Better Home's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Better Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Better. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Better Home's price trends.

Better Home Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Better Home stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Better Home could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Better Home by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Better Home Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Better Home stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Better Home shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Better Home stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Better Home Finance entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Better Home Risk Indicators

The analysis of Better Home's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Better Home's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting better stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Better Home

The number of cover stories for Better Home depends on current market conditions and Better Home's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Better Home is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Better Home's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Better Home Short Properties

Better Home's future price predictability will typically decrease when Better Home's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Better Home Finance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Better Home's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Better Home's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments264.9 M

Additional Tools for Better Stock Analysis

When running Better Home's price analysis, check to measure Better Home's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Better Home is operating at the current time. Most of Better Home's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Better Home's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Better Home's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Better Home to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.