Jefferson Capital Common Stock Price Prediction
| JCAP Stock | USD 23.30 1.30 5.91% |
Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year 3.2 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.545 | Wall Street Target Price 24 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.456 |
Using Jefferson Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jefferson Capital Common from the perspective of Jefferson Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Jefferson Capital Common Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Jefferson Capital's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Jefferson. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Jefferson can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Jefferson Capital Common. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Jefferson Capital's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Jefferson Capital.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Jefferson Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Jefferson because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Jefferson Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 23.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Jefferson Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Jefferson Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jefferson Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jefferson Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Jefferson Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Jefferson Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jefferson Capital's historical news coverage. Jefferson Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.75 and 25.85, respectively. We have considered Jefferson Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Jefferson Capital is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jefferson Capital Common is based on 3 months time horizon.
Jefferson Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jefferson Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jefferson Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jefferson Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 2.55 | 0.53 | 0.04 | 28 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 28 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.30 | 23.30 | 0.00 |
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Jefferson Capital Hype Timeline
Jefferson Capital Common is currently traded for 23.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.53, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Jefferson is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.44%. %. The volatility of related hype on Jefferson Capital is about 2656.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.26. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Jefferson Capital was currently reported as 7.05. The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of August 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 28 days. Check out Jefferson Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Jefferson Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Jefferson Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jefferson Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Jefferson Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jefferson Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EZPW | EZCORP Inc | 0.19 | 11 per month | 1.79 | 0.06 | 3.30 | (2.54) | 8.68 | |
| BBDC | Barings BDC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | 0.05 | 1.44 | (1.46) | 4.07 | |
| ECPG | Encore Capital Group | (0.97) | 11 per month | 2.17 | 0.13 | 4.02 | (3.44) | 14.34 | |
| GSBD | Goldman Sachs BDC | 1.21 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.88 | (2.24) | 5.56 | |
| OCSL | Oaktree Specialty Lending | 0.20 | 8 per month | 1.03 | (0) | 2.11 | (2.04) | 7.02 | |
| NAVI | Navient Corp | 0.06 | 8 per month | 2.44 | (0) | 3.14 | (2.83) | 12.20 | |
| ATLC | Atlanticus Holdings | (1.60) | 22 per month | 2.84 | 0.09 | 4.77 | (4.20) | 12.11 | |
| VRTS | Virtus Investment Partners | (1.32) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.94 | (4.08) | 8.92 | |
| LU | Lufax Holding | 0.06 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.15 | (5.37) | 16.24 | |
| TRIN | Trinity Capital | 1.21 | 25 per month | 1.29 | 0.06 | 1.99 | (1.56) | 6.59 |
Jefferson Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Jefferson price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jefferson using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jefferson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Jefferson Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Jefferson Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Jefferson Capital Common, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Jefferson Capital based on analysis of Jefferson Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Jefferson Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Jefferson Capital's related companies. | 2020 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0283 | 0.0333 | 0.0383 | 0.073 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.34 | 2.49 | 2.87 | 2.72 |
Story Coverage note for Jefferson Capital
The number of cover stories for Jefferson Capital depends on current market conditions and Jefferson Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jefferson Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jefferson Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Jefferson Capital Short Properties
Jefferson Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jefferson Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jefferson Capital Common often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jefferson Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jefferson Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 35.5 M |
Additional Tools for Jefferson Stock Analysis
When running Jefferson Capital's price analysis, check to measure Jefferson Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jefferson Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Jefferson Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jefferson Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jefferson Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jefferson Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.