Build Funds Etf Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

BFIX Etf  USD 25.42  0.06  0.24%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Build Funds Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 25.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.93. Build Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Build Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Build Funds' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Build Funds' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Build Funds stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Build Funds' open interest, investors have to compare it to Build Funds' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Build Funds is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Build. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Build Funds works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Build Funds Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Build Funds Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 25.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.93.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Build Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Build Funds' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Build Funds Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest Build FundsBuild Funds Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Build Funds Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Build Funds' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Build Funds' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.16 and 25.66, respectively. We have considered Build Funds' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.42
25.41
Expected Value
25.66
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Build Funds etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Build Funds etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0096
MADMean absolute deviation0.0488
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0019
SAESum of the absolute errors2.9302
When Build Funds Trust prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Build Funds Trust trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Build Funds observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Build Funds

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Build Funds Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.1825.4225.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.1425.3825.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
25.0625.2225.38
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Build Funds

For every potential investor in Build, whether a beginner or expert, Build Funds' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Build Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Build. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Build Funds' price trends.

Build Funds Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Build Funds etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Build Funds could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Build Funds by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Build Funds Trust Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Build Funds' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Build Funds' current price.

Build Funds Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Build Funds etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Build Funds shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Build Funds etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Build Funds Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Build Funds Risk Indicators

The analysis of Build Funds' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Build Funds' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting build etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Build Funds Trust offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Build Funds' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Build Funds Trust Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Build Funds Trust Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Build Funds to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
The market value of Build Funds Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Build that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Build Funds' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Build Funds' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Build Funds' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Build Funds' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Build Funds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Build Funds is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Build Funds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.