BlackRock Municipal Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| BFK Stock | USD 10.08 0.03 0.30% |
BlackRock Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although BlackRock Municipal's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of BlackRock Municipal's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of BlackRock Municipal fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of BlackRock Municipal's share price is at 56 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BlackRock Municipal, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) |
Using BlackRock Municipal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BlackRock Municipal Income from the perspective of BlackRock Municipal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BlackRock Municipal Income on the next trading day is expected to be 10.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.20. BlackRock Municipal after-hype prediction price | USD 10.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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BlackRock Municipal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BlackRock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BlackRock using various technical indicators. When you analyze BlackRock charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BlackRock Municipal Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BlackRock Municipal Income on the next trading day is expected to be 10.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BlackRock Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BlackRock Municipal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BlackRock Municipal Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BlackRock Municipal | BlackRock Municipal Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
BlackRock Municipal Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BlackRock Municipal's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BlackRock Municipal's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.62 and 10.54, respectively. We have considered BlackRock Municipal's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BlackRock Municipal stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BlackRock Municipal stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.2951 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0023 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0367 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0037 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.2 |
Predictive Modules for BlackRock Municipal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BlackRock Municipal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BlackRock Municipal After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BlackRock Municipal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BlackRock Municipal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BlackRock Municipal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BlackRock Municipal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BlackRock Municipal's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BlackRock Municipal's historical news coverage. BlackRock Municipal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.63 and 10.53, respectively. We have considered BlackRock Municipal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BlackRock Municipal is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BlackRock Municipal is based on 3 months time horizon.
BlackRock Municipal Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BlackRock Municipal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BlackRock Municipal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BlackRock Municipal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.08 | 10.08 | 0.00 |
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BlackRock Municipal Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January BlackRock Municipal is traded for 10.08. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. BlackRock is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on BlackRock Municipal is about 191.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.08. About 42.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.97. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BlackRock Municipal recorded a loss per share of 0.43. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of February 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BlackRock Municipal to cross-verify your projections.BlackRock Municipal Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BlackRock Municipal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BlackRock Municipal's future price movements. Getting to know how BlackRock Municipal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BlackRock Municipal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BLE | BlackRock MIT II | (0.01) | 3 per month | 0.31 | (0.16) | 0.48 | (0.58) | 1.75 | |
| BFZ | BlackRock California Municipal | 0.02 | 17 per month | 0.24 | (0.14) | 0.73 | (0.56) | 1.57 | |
| BYM | BlackRock Municipal Income | 0.02 | 12 per month | 0.31 | (0.16) | 0.74 | (0.55) | 2.02 | |
| BMEZ | BlackRock Health Sciences | 2.28 | 4 per month | 0.69 | (0) | 2.10 | (1.27) | 4.64 | |
| DFP | Flaherty and Crumrine | 0.05 | 2 per month | 0.35 | (0.15) | 0.57 | (0.56) | 1.58 | |
| FFA | First Trust Enhanced | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.70 | (0) | 1.04 | (1.49) | 3.31 | |
| BLW | BlackRock Limited Duration | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.22 | (0.14) | 0.45 | (0.52) | 1.33 | |
| EVN | Eaton Vance Municipal | (0.06) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.83 | (1.01) | 3.50 | |
| NML | Neuberger Berman Mlp | 0.06 | 2 per month | 0.69 | 0.11 | 1.56 | (1.42) | 4.01 | |
| BGT | BlackRock Floating Rate | 0.04 | 6 per month | 0.75 | (0.13) | 0.64 | (0.97) | 2.87 |
Other Forecasting Options for BlackRock Municipal
For every potential investor in BlackRock, whether a beginner or expert, BlackRock Municipal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BlackRock Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BlackRock. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BlackRock Municipal's price trends.BlackRock Municipal Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BlackRock Municipal stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BlackRock Municipal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BlackRock Municipal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BlackRock Municipal Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BlackRock Municipal stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BlackRock Municipal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BlackRock Municipal stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BlackRock Municipal Income entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
BlackRock Municipal Risk Indicators
The analysis of BlackRock Municipal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BlackRock Municipal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting blackrock stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3407 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4505 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.465 | |||
| Variance | 0.2162 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.2825 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.203 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BlackRock Municipal
The number of cover stories for BlackRock Municipal depends on current market conditions and BlackRock Municipal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BlackRock Municipal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BlackRock Municipal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BlackRock Municipal Short Properties
BlackRock Municipal's future price predictability will typically decrease when BlackRock Municipal's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BlackRock Municipal Income often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BlackRock Municipal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BlackRock Municipal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BlackRock Municipal to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BlackRock Municipal. If investors know BlackRock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BlackRock Municipal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share (0.43) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) |
The market value of BlackRock Municipal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BlackRock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BlackRock Municipal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BlackRock Municipal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BlackRock Municipal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BlackRock Municipal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BlackRock Municipal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BlackRock Municipal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BlackRock Municipal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.