BioForce Nanosciences Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

BFNH Stock  USD 1.09  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BioForce Nanosciences Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.25. BioForce Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BioForce Nanosciences' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for BioForce Nanosciences is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of BioForce Nanosciences Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

BioForce Nanosciences Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of BioForce Nanosciences Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BioForce Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BioForce Nanosciences' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BioForce Nanosciences Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest BioForce NanosciencesBioForce Nanosciences Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

BioForce Nanosciences Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BioForce Nanosciences' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BioForce Nanosciences' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 8.99, respectively. We have considered BioForce Nanosciences' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.09
1.03
Expected Value
8.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BioForce Nanosciences pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BioForce Nanosciences pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.871
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0533
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0506
SAESum of the absolute errors3.2484
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of BioForce Nanosciences Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict BioForce Nanosciences. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for BioForce Nanosciences

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BioForce Nanosciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.099.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.898.85
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BioForce Nanosciences

For every potential investor in BioForce, whether a beginner or expert, BioForce Nanosciences' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BioForce Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BioForce. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BioForce Nanosciences' price trends.

View BioForce Nanosciences Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

BioForce Nanosciences Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BioForce Nanosciences' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BioForce Nanosciences' current price.

BioForce Nanosciences Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BioForce Nanosciences pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BioForce Nanosciences shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BioForce Nanosciences pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify BioForce Nanosciences Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BioForce Nanosciences Risk Indicators

The analysis of BioForce Nanosciences' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BioForce Nanosciences' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bioforce pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in BioForce Pink Sheet

BioForce Nanosciences financial ratios help investors to determine whether BioForce Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BioForce with respect to the benefits of owning BioForce Nanosciences security.