Barrons 400 Etf Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| BFOR Etf | USD 87.18 0.36 0.41% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Barrons 400 ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 87.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.20. Barrons Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength momentum indicator of Barrons 400's share price is below 20 suggesting that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Barrons 400 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Barrons 400 ETF from the perspective of Barrons 400 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Barrons 400 using Barrons 400's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Barrons using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Barrons 400's stock price.
Barrons 400 Implied Volatility | 0.19 |
Barrons 400's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Barrons 400 ETF stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Barrons 400's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Barrons 400 stock will not fluctuate a lot when Barrons 400's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Barrons 400 ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 87.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.20. Barrons 400 after-hype prediction price | USD 87.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Barrons 400 to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Barrons contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Barrons 400 ETF will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0119% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Barrons 400 trading at USD 87.18, that is roughly USD 0.0104 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Barrons 400's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Barrons 400 ETF options at the current volatility level of 0.19%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Barrons Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Barrons 400's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Barrons 400's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Barrons 400 stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Barrons 400's open interest, investors have to compare it to Barrons 400's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Barrons 400 is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Barrons. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Barrons 400 Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Barrons price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Barrons using various technical indicators. When you analyze Barrons charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Barrons 400 Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Barrons 400 ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 87.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67, mean absolute percentage error of 0.70, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Barrons Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Barrons 400's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Barrons 400 Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Barrons 400 | Barrons 400 Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Barrons 400 Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Barrons 400's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Barrons 400's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 86.28 and 88.08, respectively. We have considered Barrons 400's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Barrons 400 etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Barrons 400 etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.9187 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1466 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6699 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0082 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 40.195 |
Predictive Modules for Barrons 400
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Barrons 400 ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Barrons 400 After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Barrons 400 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Barrons 400 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Barrons 400, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Barrons 400 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Barrons 400's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Barrons 400's historical news coverage. Barrons 400's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 86.28 and 88.08, respectively. We have considered Barrons 400's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Barrons 400 is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Barrons 400 ETF is based on 3 months time horizon.
Barrons 400 Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Barrons 400 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Barrons 400 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Barrons 400, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 0.90 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 2 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
87.18 | 87.18 | 0.00 |
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Barrons 400 Hype Timeline
Barrons 400 ETF is currently traded for 87.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Barrons is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Barrons 400 is about 555.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 87.16. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Barrons 400 to cross-verify your projections.Barrons 400 Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Barrons 400's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Barrons 400's future price movements. Getting to know how Barrons 400's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Barrons 400 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OGIG | ALPS ETF Trust | (0.21) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.60 | (2.49) | 5.33 | |
| TUR | iShares MSCI Turkey | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.29 | 0.23 | 2.55 | (1.01) | 4.89 | |
| SIXL | 6 Meridian Low | 0.24 | 2 per month | 0.53 | (0.07) | 1.07 | (0.78) | 3.40 | |
| XPH | SPDR SP Pharmaceuticals | (0.06) | 4 per month | 0.72 | 0.13 | 2.13 | (1.44) | 5.79 | |
| EDEN | iShares MSCI Denmark | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.81 | 0.06 | 2.22 | (1.59) | 5.34 | |
| XES | SPDR SP Oil | (0.90) | 2 per month | 1.47 | 0.19 | 3.70 | (3.31) | 10.85 | |
| CZA | Invesco Zacks Mid Cap | (0.39) | 2 per month | 0.53 | 0.02 | 1.47 | (1.09) | 3.58 | |
| HEEM | iShares Currency Hedged | (0.72) | 3 per month | 0.37 | 0.11 | 1.37 | (1.05) | 3.77 | |
| DEUS | Xtrackers Russell Multifactor | 0.08 | 4 per month | 0.55 | (0.01) | 1.37 | (1.19) | 3.02 | |
| TBG | EA Series Trust | 0.30 | 2 per month | 0.37 | (0.01) | 1.10 | (0.89) | 2.42 |
Other Forecasting Options for Barrons 400
For every potential investor in Barrons, whether a beginner or expert, Barrons 400's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Barrons Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Barrons. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Barrons 400's price trends.Barrons 400 Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Barrons 400 etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Barrons 400 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Barrons 400 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Barrons 400 Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Barrons 400 etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Barrons 400 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Barrons 400 etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Barrons 400 ETF entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 98.05 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.973 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 87.37 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 87.3 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.36 |
Barrons 400 Risk Indicators
The analysis of Barrons 400's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Barrons 400's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting barrons etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7074 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6924 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8952 | |||
| Variance | 0.8014 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7298 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4795 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.77) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Barrons 400
The number of cover stories for Barrons 400 depends on current market conditions and Barrons 400's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Barrons 400 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Barrons 400's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Barrons 400 to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
The market value of Barrons 400 ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Barrons that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Barrons 400's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Barrons 400's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Barrons 400's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Barrons 400's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Barrons 400's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Barrons 400 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Barrons 400's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.