Bunge Stock Forward View
| BG Stock | USD 122.54 0.01 0.01% |
Bunge Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Bunge's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 16th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Bunge's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.89) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.8403 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.1262 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.9393 | Wall Street Target Price 126 |
Using Bunge hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bunge Limited from the perspective of Bunge response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bunge using Bunge's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bunge using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bunge's stock price.
Bunge Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Bunge's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Bunge. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Bunge stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 88.3413 | Short Percent 0.0336 | Short Ratio 3.11 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.4 M | 50 Day MA 102.5926 |
Bunge Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bunge Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 124.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 92.37.Bunge Limited Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Bunge's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Bunge. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Bunge can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Bunge Limited. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Bunge's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Bunge.
Bunge Implied Volatility | 0.5 |
Bunge's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bunge Limited stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bunge's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bunge stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bunge's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bunge Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 124.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 92.37. Bunge after-hype prediction price | USD 122.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bunge to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Bunge contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Bunge Limited will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0313% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Bunge trading at USD 122.54, that is roughly USD 0.0383 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Bunge's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Bunge Limited options at the current volatility level of 0.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Bunge Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Bunge's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Bunge's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Bunge stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Bunge's open interest, investors have to compare it to Bunge's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Bunge is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Bunge. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Bunge Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bunge price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bunge using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bunge charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bunge Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Bunge's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2000-12-31 | Previous Quarter 1.3 B | Current Value 1.1 B | Quarterly Volatility 924.9 M |
Bunge Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bunge Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 124.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.51, mean absolute percentage error of 3.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 92.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bunge Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bunge's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bunge Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bunge | Bunge Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Bunge Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bunge's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bunge's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 122.90 and 126.13, respectively. We have considered Bunge's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bunge stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bunge stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.3691 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5142 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0151 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 92.3675 |
Predictive Modules for Bunge
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bunge Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bunge After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bunge at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bunge or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bunge, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bunge Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bunge's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bunge's historical news coverage. Bunge's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 121.17 and 124.43, respectively. We have considered Bunge's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bunge is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bunge Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bunge Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bunge is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bunge backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bunge, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 1.62 | 0.27 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
122.54 | 122.80 | 0.22 |
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Bunge Hype Timeline
As of February 16, 2026 Bunge Limited is listed for 122.54. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Bunge is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 122.8 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on Bunge is about 4703.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 122.55. The company generated the yearly revenue of 70.33 B. Reported Net Income was 819 M with gross profit of 3.42 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bunge to cross-verify your projections.Bunge Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bunge's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bunge's future price movements. Getting to know how Bunge's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bunge may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TSN | Tyson Foods | 0.03 | 9 per month | 1.07 | 0.13 | 3.17 | (1.75) | 8.77 | |
| KOF | Coca Cola Femsa SAB | 2.72 | 11 per month | 0.94 | 0.23 | 2.76 | (1.88) | 5.74 | |
| MKC | McCormick Company Incorporated | (0.54) | 10 per month | 1.91 | 0.06 | 2.69 | (2.38) | 10.75 | |
| FMX | Fomento Economico Mexicano | (0.17) | 6 per month | 0.90 | 0.18 | 2.78 | (1.79) | 7.81 | |
| SFD | Smithfield Foods Common | 0.17 | 10 per month | 0.69 | 0.14 | 2.15 | (1.52) | 4.79 | |
| CHD | Church Dwight | 0.06 | 7 per month | 0.92 | 0.17 | 2.33 | (1.67) | 6.75 | |
| DLTR | Dollar Tree | (2.09) | 8 per month | 1.76 | 0.09 | 4.05 | (2.85) | 10.30 | |
| DG | Dollar General | (0.09) | 10 per month | 1.32 | 0.23 | 4.59 | (2.38) | 20.14 | |
| ADM | Archer Daniels Midland | 0.22 | 8 per month | 1.18 | 0.18 | 2.94 | (2.84) | 7.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bunge
For every potential investor in Bunge, whether a beginner or expert, Bunge's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bunge Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bunge. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bunge's price trends.Bunge Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bunge stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bunge could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bunge by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bunge Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bunge stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bunge shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bunge stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bunge Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Bunge Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bunge's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bunge's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bunge stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8376 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Variance | 2.61 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7016 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.55) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bunge
The number of cover stories for Bunge depends on current market conditions and Bunge's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bunge is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bunge's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bunge Short Properties
Bunge's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bunge's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bunge Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bunge's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bunge's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 166 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bunge to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Can Agricultural Products & Services industry sustain growth momentum? Does Bunge have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bunge. Projected growth potential of Bunge fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Bunge demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.89) | Dividend Share 2.78 | Earnings Share 4.24 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.755 |
Investors evaluate Bunge Limited using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Bunge's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Bunge's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Bunge's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bunge should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Bunge's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.