Braemar Hotel Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| BHR Stock | USD 2.99 0.24 8.73% |
Braemar Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Braemar Hotel's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Braemar Hotel's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Braemar Hotel fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Braemar Hotel's share price is at 56 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Braemar Hotel, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.011 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.42) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.90) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.80) | Wall Street Target Price 4 |
Using Braemar Hotel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Braemar Hotel Resorts from the perspective of Braemar Hotel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Braemar Hotel using Braemar Hotel's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Braemar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Braemar Hotel's stock price.
Braemar Hotel Implied Volatility | 1.39 |
Braemar Hotel's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Braemar Hotel Resorts stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Braemar Hotel's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Braemar Hotel stock will not fluctuate a lot when Braemar Hotel's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Braemar Hotel Resorts on the next trading day is expected to be 2.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.91. Braemar Hotel after-hype prediction price | USD 2.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Braemar Hotel to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Braemar Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Braemar Hotel's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Braemar Hotel's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Braemar Hotel stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Braemar Hotel's open interest, investors have to compare it to Braemar Hotel's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Braemar Hotel is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Braemar. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Braemar Hotel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Braemar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Braemar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Braemar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Braemar Hotel Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Braemar Hotel Resorts on the next trading day is expected to be 2.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Braemar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Braemar Hotel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Braemar Hotel Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Braemar Hotel | Braemar Hotel Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Braemar Hotel Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Braemar Hotel's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Braemar Hotel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.16 and 5.82, respectively. We have considered Braemar Hotel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Braemar Hotel stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Braemar Hotel stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.465 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.009 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0663 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0236 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.91 |
Predictive Modules for Braemar Hotel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Braemar Hotel Resorts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Braemar Hotel After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Braemar Hotel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Braemar Hotel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Braemar Hotel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Braemar Hotel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Braemar Hotel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Braemar Hotel's historical news coverage. Braemar Hotel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.14 and 5.36, respectively. We have considered Braemar Hotel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Braemar Hotel is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Braemar Hotel Resorts is based on 3 months time horizon.
Braemar Hotel Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Braemar Hotel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Braemar Hotel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Braemar Hotel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 2.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.99 | 2.75 | 0.00 |
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Braemar Hotel Hype Timeline
On the 4th of February Braemar Hotel Resorts is traded for 2.99. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Braemar is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on Braemar Hotel is about 16980.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.99. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.89. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Braemar Hotel Resorts has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.1. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.87. The firm last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Braemar Hotel had 101:100 split on the 28th of October 2019. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Braemar Hotel to cross-verify your projections.Braemar Hotel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Braemar Hotel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Braemar Hotel's future price movements. Getting to know how Braemar Hotel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Braemar Hotel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FSP | Franklin Street Properties | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 4.04 | (5.77) | 12.99 | |
| SRG | Seritage Growth Properties | 0.08 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.37 | (4.30) | 12.56 | |
| LODE | Comstock Mining | (0.26) | 8 per month | 5.40 | 0.01 | 8.36 | (7.81) | 25.76 | |
| MRNO | Murano Global Investments | (0.03) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 32.35 | (23.18) | 79.50 | |
| ONL | Orion Office Reit | 0.04 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.48 | (3.83) | 24.81 | |
| RMAX | Re Max Holding | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.56 | (4.25) | 14.02 | |
| ACR | Acres Commercial Realty | (0.22) | 10 per month | 1.73 | 0.0004 | 2.95 | (2.96) | 14.67 | |
| ASPS | Altisource Portfolio Solutions | 0.46 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 4.77 | (8.97) | 19.75 | |
| SEVN | Seven Hills Realty | (0.25) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.91 | (3.21) | 8.39 |
Other Forecasting Options for Braemar Hotel
For every potential investor in Braemar, whether a beginner or expert, Braemar Hotel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Braemar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Braemar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Braemar Hotel's price trends.Braemar Hotel Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Braemar Hotel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Braemar Hotel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Braemar Hotel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Braemar Hotel Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Braemar Hotel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Braemar Hotel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Braemar Hotel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Braemar Hotel Resorts entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Braemar Hotel Risk Indicators
The analysis of Braemar Hotel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Braemar Hotel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting braemar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Variance | 6.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.25 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.63) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Braemar Hotel
The number of cover stories for Braemar Hotel depends on current market conditions and Braemar Hotel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Braemar Hotel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Braemar Hotel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Braemar Hotel Short Properties
Braemar Hotel's future price predictability will typically decrease when Braemar Hotel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Braemar Hotel Resorts often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Braemar Hotel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Braemar Hotel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 135.8 M |
Additional Tools for Braemar Stock Analysis
When running Braemar Hotel's price analysis, check to measure Braemar Hotel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Braemar Hotel is operating at the current time. Most of Braemar Hotel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Braemar Hotel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Braemar Hotel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Braemar Hotel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.