Burke Herbert Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| BHRB Stock | USD 65.48 1.08 1.68% |
Burke Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Burke Herbert stock prices and determine the direction of Burke Herbert Financial's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Burke Herbert's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Burke Herbert's share price is at 55 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Burke Herbert, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Burke Herbert hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Burke Herbert Financial from the perspective of Burke Herbert response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Burke Herbert Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 65.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.05. Burke Herbert after-hype prediction price | USD 65.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Burke Herbert to cross-verify your projections. Burke Herbert Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Burke price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Burke using various technical indicators. When you analyze Burke charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Burke Herbert Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Burke Herbert Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 65.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 1.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Burke Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Burke Herbert's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Burke Herbert Stock Forecast Pattern
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Burke Herbert Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Burke Herbert's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Burke Herbert's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 63.78 and 67.18, respectively. We have considered Burke Herbert's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Burke Herbert stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Burke Herbert stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.8468 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1445 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8823 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0137 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 52.055 |
Predictive Modules for Burke Herbert
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Burke Herbert Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Burke Herbert After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Burke Herbert at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Burke Herbert or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Burke Herbert, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Burke Herbert Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Burke Herbert's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Burke Herbert's historical news coverage. Burke Herbert's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 63.78 and 67.18, respectively. We have considered Burke Herbert's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Burke Herbert is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Burke Herbert Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Burke Herbert Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Burke Herbert is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Burke Herbert backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Burke Herbert, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
65.48 | 65.48 | 0.00 |
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Burke Herbert Hype Timeline
Burke Herbert Financial is currently traded for 65.48. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Burke is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Burke Herbert is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 65.48. About 40.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.17. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Burke Herbert Financial recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.81. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2026. The firm had 40:1 split on the 15th of November 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Burke Herbert to cross-verify your projections.Burke Herbert Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Burke Herbert's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Burke Herbert's future price movements. Getting to know how Burke Herbert's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Burke Herbert may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TMP | Tompkins Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.18 | 3.87 | (2.18) | 10.36 | |
| FMBH | First Mid Illinois | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.03 | 0.14 | 3.31 | (1.45) | 9.25 | |
| AMAL | Amalgamated Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.01 | 0.27 | 3.75 | (1.86) | 8.00 | |
| FSUN | FirstSun Capital Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.92 | 0.11 | 3.49 | (2.36) | 10.98 | |
| UVSP | Univest Pennsylvania | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.02 | 0.10 | 3.42 | (1.85) | 9.31 | |
| DCOM | Dime Community Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | 0.20 | 3.51 | (2.14) | 11.73 | |
| OSBC | Old Second Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.50 | 0.08 | 3.09 | (1.66) | 11.79 | |
| MBIN | Merchants Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.55 | 0.16 | 4.14 | (2.97) | 13.19 | |
| SBSI | Southside Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.90 | 0.13 | 2.73 | (1.34) | 8.89 | |
| TCBI | Texas Capital Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.31 | 0.14 | 2.92 | (1.82) | 10.21 |
Other Forecasting Options for Burke Herbert
For every potential investor in Burke, whether a beginner or expert, Burke Herbert's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Burke Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Burke. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Burke Herbert's price trends.Burke Herbert Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Burke Herbert stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Burke Herbert could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Burke Herbert by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Burke Herbert Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Burke Herbert stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Burke Herbert shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Burke Herbert stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Burke Herbert Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Burke Herbert Risk Indicators
The analysis of Burke Herbert's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Burke Herbert's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting burke stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Variance | 2.9 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.16 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.27) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Burke Herbert
The number of cover stories for Burke Herbert depends on current market conditions and Burke Herbert's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Burke Herbert is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Burke Herbert's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Burke Herbert Short Properties
Burke Herbert's future price predictability will typically decrease when Burke Herbert's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Burke Herbert Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Burke Herbert's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Burke Herbert's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 B | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 2.2 | |
| Shares Float | 13.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Burke Herbert to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Burke Herbert. Projected growth potential of Burke fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Burke Herbert assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Understanding Burke Herbert Financial requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Burke's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Burke Herbert's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Burke Herbert's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Burke Herbert's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Burke Herbert should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Burke Herbert's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.