Sepeda Bersama Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

BIKE Stock   505.00  5.00  0.98%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Sepeda Bersama Indonesia on the next trading day is expected to be 509.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 15.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 818.75. Sepeda Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Sepeda Bersama is based on an artificially constructed time series of Sepeda Bersama daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Sepeda Bersama 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Sepeda Bersama Indonesia on the next trading day is expected to be 509.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 15.45, mean absolute percentage error of 347.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 818.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sepeda Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sepeda Bersama's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sepeda Bersama Stock Forecast Pattern

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Sepeda Bersama Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sepeda Bersama's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sepeda Bersama's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 507.81 and 510.94, respectively. We have considered Sepeda Bersama's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
505.00
507.81
Downside
509.38
Expected Value
510.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sepeda Bersama stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sepeda Bersama stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.2572
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 12.6415
MADMean absolute deviation15.4481
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0274
SAESum of the absolute errors818.75
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Sepeda Bersama Indonesia 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Sepeda Bersama

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sepeda Bersama Indonesia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
503.45505.00506.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
460.45462.00555.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
501.95506.67511.38
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sepeda Bersama

For every potential investor in Sepeda, whether a beginner or expert, Sepeda Bersama's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sepeda Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sepeda. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sepeda Bersama's price trends.

Sepeda Bersama Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sepeda Bersama stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sepeda Bersama could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sepeda Bersama by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sepeda Bersama Indonesia Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sepeda Bersama's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sepeda Bersama's current price.

Sepeda Bersama Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sepeda Bersama stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sepeda Bersama shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sepeda Bersama stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sepeda Bersama Indonesia entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sepeda Bersama Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sepeda Bersama's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sepeda Bersama's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sepeda stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Sepeda Stock

Sepeda Bersama financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sepeda Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sepeda with respect to the benefits of owning Sepeda Bersama security.