Birchcliff Energy Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

BIR Stock  CAD 7.09  0.13  1.80%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Birchcliff Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 7.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.68. Birchcliff Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Birchcliff Energy's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Birchcliff Energy's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Birchcliff Energy fundamentals over time.
As of today the value of relative strength index of Birchcliff Energy's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Birchcliff Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Birchcliff Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Birchcliff Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.063
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.345
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.66
Wall Street Target Price
8.8958
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.09
Using Birchcliff Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Birchcliff Energy from the perspective of Birchcliff Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Birchcliff Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 7.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.68.

Birchcliff Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 7.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Birchcliff Energy to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Birchcliff Energy's Payables Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 14th of January 2026, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 0.22, while Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 6.58. . As of the 14th of January 2026, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 99.2 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop about 162.1 M.

Birchcliff Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Birchcliff price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Birchcliff using various technical indicators. When you analyze Birchcliff charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Birchcliff Energy price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Birchcliff Energy Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 15th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Birchcliff Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 7.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Birchcliff Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Birchcliff Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Birchcliff Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Birchcliff EnergyBirchcliff Energy Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Birchcliff Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Birchcliff Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Birchcliff Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.74 and 9.63, respectively. We have considered Birchcliff Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.09
7.68
Expected Value
9.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Birchcliff Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Birchcliff Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.8725
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2851
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0403
SAESum of the absolute errors17.6759
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Birchcliff Energy historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Birchcliff Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Birchcliff Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.157.099.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.945.887.82
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.060.080.11
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Birchcliff Energy

For every potential investor in Birchcliff, whether a beginner or expert, Birchcliff Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Birchcliff Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Birchcliff. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Birchcliff Energy's price trends.

Birchcliff Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Birchcliff Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Birchcliff Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Birchcliff Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Birchcliff Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Birchcliff Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Birchcliff Energy's current price.

Birchcliff Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Birchcliff Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Birchcliff Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Birchcliff Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Birchcliff Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Birchcliff Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Birchcliff Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Birchcliff Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting birchcliff stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Birchcliff Energy

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Birchcliff Energy position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Birchcliff Energy will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Birchcliff Stock

  0.79ENB-PFV Enbridge Pref 5PairCorr
  0.72ENB-PFC Enbridge Pref 11PairCorr
  0.61ENS E Split CorpPairCorr

Moving against Birchcliff Stock

  0.88VYC-H Vanity CapitalPairCorr
  0.86SAGE Sage Potash CorpPairCorr
  0.83GSTM Goldstorm Metals CorpPairCorr
  0.34ENS-PA E Split CorpPairCorr
  0.33DGX Digi Power XPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Birchcliff Energy could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Birchcliff Energy when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Birchcliff Energy - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Birchcliff Energy to buy it.
The correlation of Birchcliff Energy is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Birchcliff Energy moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Birchcliff Energy moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Birchcliff Energy can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Birchcliff Stock

Birchcliff Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Birchcliff Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Birchcliff with respect to the benefits of owning Birchcliff Energy security.