Bitfarms Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

BITF Stock  USD 2.45  0.15  5.77%   
Bitfarms Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bitfarms' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Bitfarms' share price is approaching 40 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bitfarms, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 40

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bitfarms' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bitfarms and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bitfarms' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bitfarms, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Bitfarms hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bitfarms from the perspective of Bitfarms response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Bitfarms on the next trading day is expected to be 2.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.87.

Bitfarms after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.45  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bitfarms to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Bitfarms Stock please use our How to Invest in Bitfarms guide.

Bitfarms Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bitfarms price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bitfarms using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bitfarms charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Bitfarms price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Bitfarms Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Bitfarms on the next trading day is expected to be 2.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.87.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bitfarms Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bitfarms' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bitfarms Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bitfarms  Bitfarms Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Bitfarms Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bitfarms' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bitfarms' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 8.51, respectively. We have considered Bitfarms' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.45
2.47
Expected Value
8.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bitfarms stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bitfarms stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.9744
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2766
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0966
SAESum of the absolute errors16.874
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Bitfarms historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Bitfarms

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bitfarms. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bitfarms' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.458.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.288.32
Details

Bitfarms After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bitfarms at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bitfarms or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bitfarms, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bitfarms Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bitfarms' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bitfarms' historical news coverage. Bitfarms' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 8.49, respectively. We have considered Bitfarms' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.45
2.45
After-hype Price
8.49
Upside
Bitfarms is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bitfarms is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bitfarms Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bitfarms is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bitfarms backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bitfarms, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.67 
6.04
  0.05 
  0.08 
5 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.45
2.45
0.00 
8,629  
Notes

Bitfarms Hype Timeline

Bitfarms is currently traded for 2.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Bitfarms is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.67%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bitfarms is about 4897.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.53. About 36.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Bitfarms was currently reported as 1.09. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.13. Bitfarms had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bitfarms to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Bitfarms Stock please use our How to Invest in Bitfarms guide.

Bitfarms Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bitfarms' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bitfarms' future price movements. Getting to know how Bitfarms' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bitfarms may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Bitfarms

For every potential investor in Bitfarms, whether a beginner or expert, Bitfarms' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bitfarms Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bitfarms. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bitfarms' price trends.

Bitfarms Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bitfarms stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bitfarms could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bitfarms by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bitfarms Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bitfarms stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bitfarms shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bitfarms stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bitfarms entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bitfarms Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bitfarms' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bitfarms' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bitfarms stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Bitfarms

The number of cover stories for Bitfarms depends on current market conditions and Bitfarms' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bitfarms is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bitfarms' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Bitfarms Short Properties

Bitfarms' future price predictability will typically decrease when Bitfarms' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bitfarms often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bitfarms' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bitfarms' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding414.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments146.8 M
When determining whether Bitfarms is a strong investment it is important to analyze Bitfarms' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Bitfarms' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Bitfarms Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bitfarms to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Bitfarms Stock please use our How to Invest in Bitfarms guide.
You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Can Stock industry sustain growth momentum? Does Bitfarms have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bitfarms. Projected growth potential of Bitfarms fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Bitfarms demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
The market value of Bitfarms is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bitfarms that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bitfarms' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bitfarms' true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Bitfarms' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bitfarms' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Bitfarms' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bitfarms should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Bitfarms' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.