Bitwise Crypto Etf Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

BITQ Etf  USD 19.70  1.06  5.11%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bitwise Crypto Industry on the next trading day is expected to be 19.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.34. Bitwise Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Bitwise Crypto - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Bitwise Crypto prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Bitwise Crypto price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Bitwise Crypto Industry.

Bitwise Crypto Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bitwise Crypto Industry on the next trading day is expected to be 19.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51, mean absolute percentage error of 0.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.34.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bitwise Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bitwise Crypto's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bitwise Crypto Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bitwise CryptoBitwise Crypto Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Bitwise Crypto Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bitwise Crypto's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bitwise Crypto's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.36 and 24.31, respectively. We have considered Bitwise Crypto's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.70
19.84
Expected Value
24.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bitwise Crypto etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bitwise Crypto etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1171
MADMean absolute deviation0.5143
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0334
SAESum of the absolute errors30.3436
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Bitwise Crypto observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Bitwise Crypto Industry observations.

Predictive Modules for Bitwise Crypto

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bitwise Crypto Industry. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bitwise Crypto's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.5618.0422.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.2418.7223.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.1917.5922.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Bitwise Crypto

For every potential investor in Bitwise, whether a beginner or expert, Bitwise Crypto's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bitwise Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bitwise. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bitwise Crypto's price trends.

Bitwise Crypto Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bitwise Crypto etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bitwise Crypto could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bitwise Crypto by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bitwise Crypto Industry Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bitwise Crypto's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bitwise Crypto's current price.

Bitwise Crypto Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bitwise Crypto etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bitwise Crypto shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bitwise Crypto etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Bitwise Crypto Industry entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bitwise Crypto Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bitwise Crypto's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bitwise Crypto's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bitwise etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Bitwise Crypto

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bitwise Crypto position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bitwise Crypto will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Bitwise Etf

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  0.96BITO ProShares Bitcoin Aggressive PushPairCorr
  0.88BLOK Amplify TransformationalPairCorr
  0.81BLCN Siren Nasdaq NexGenPairCorr

Moving against Bitwise Etf

  0.42HUM Humana Inc Fiscal Year End 23rd of January 2025 PairCorr
  0.4VXX iPath Series B Low VolatilityPairCorr
  0.4LUX Tema ETF TrustPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bitwise Crypto could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bitwise Crypto when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bitwise Crypto - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bitwise Crypto Industry to buy it.
The correlation of Bitwise Crypto is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bitwise Crypto moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bitwise Crypto Industry moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bitwise Crypto can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Bitwise Crypto Industry is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Bitwise Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Bitwise Crypto Industry Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Bitwise Crypto Industry Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bitwise Crypto to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
The market value of Bitwise Crypto Industry is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bitwise that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bitwise Crypto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bitwise Crypto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bitwise Crypto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bitwise Crypto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bitwise Crypto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bitwise Crypto is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bitwise Crypto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.