Baiya International Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BIYA Stock   4.41  0.54  13.95%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Baiya International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 4.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.28. Baiya Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Baiya International stock prices and determine the direction of Baiya International Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Baiya International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Baiya International's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Baiya International's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Baiya International Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Baiya International's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.069
Using Baiya International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Baiya International Group from the perspective of Baiya International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Baiya International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 4.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.28.

Baiya International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 5.91  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Baiya International to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Baiya International's Receivables Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 361.08, whereas Payables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 4.51. . As of January 2, 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 10.4 M.

Baiya International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Baiya price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Baiya using various technical indicators. When you analyze Baiya charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Baiya International Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Baiya International's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
1.9 M
Current Value
999.2 K
Quarterly Volatility
698.2 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Baiya International is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Baiya International Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Baiya International Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Baiya International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 4.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68, mean absolute percentage error of 0.98, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Baiya Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Baiya International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Baiya International Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Baiya InternationalBaiya International Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Baiya International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Baiya International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Baiya International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 16.98, respectively. We have considered Baiya International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.41
4.93
Expected Value
16.98
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Baiya International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Baiya International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.0882
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6767
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0857
SAESum of the absolute errors41.2815
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Baiya International Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Baiya International. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Baiya International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baiya International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Baiya International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.305.9117.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.214.2316.28
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Baiya International

For every potential investor in Baiya, whether a beginner or expert, Baiya International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Baiya Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Baiya. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Baiya International's price trends.

Baiya International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Baiya International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Baiya International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Baiya International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Baiya International Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Baiya International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Baiya International's current price.

Baiya International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Baiya International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Baiya International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Baiya International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Baiya International Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Baiya International Risk Indicators

The analysis of Baiya International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Baiya International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting baiya stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Baiya International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Baiya International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Baiya International Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Baiya International Group Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Baiya International to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Human Resource & Employment Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Baiya International. If investors know Baiya will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Baiya International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(9.62)
Revenue Per Share
29.682
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.069
Return On Assets
(0.17)
Return On Equity
(0.41)
The market value of Baiya International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Baiya that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Baiya International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Baiya International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Baiya International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Baiya International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Baiya International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Baiya International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Baiya International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.