Baiya International Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

BIYA Stock   3.87  0.82  17.48%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Baiya International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 3.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.03. Baiya Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Baiya International stock prices and determine the direction of Baiya International Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Baiya International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
A two period moving average forecast for Baiya International is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Baiya International Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Baiya International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 3.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68, mean absolute percentage error of 1.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.03.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Baiya Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Baiya International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Baiya International Stock Forecast Pattern

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Baiya International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Baiya International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Baiya International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 15.91, respectively. We have considered Baiya International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.87
3.87
Expected Value
15.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Baiya International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Baiya International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.5688
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2836
MADMean absolute deviation0.6786
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0865
SAESum of the absolute errors40.035
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Baiya International Group price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Baiya International. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Baiya International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baiya International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Baiya International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.234.5016.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.193.7215.76
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Baiya International

For every potential investor in Baiya, whether a beginner or expert, Baiya International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Baiya Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Baiya. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Baiya International's price trends.

Baiya International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Baiya International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Baiya International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Baiya International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Baiya International Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Baiya International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Baiya International's current price.

Baiya International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Baiya International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Baiya International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Baiya International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Baiya International Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Baiya International Risk Indicators

The analysis of Baiya International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Baiya International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting baiya stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Baiya International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Baiya International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Baiya International Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Baiya International Group Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Baiya International to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Human Resource & Employment Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Baiya International. If investors know Baiya will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Baiya International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Baiya International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Baiya that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Baiya International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Baiya International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Baiya International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Baiya International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Baiya International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Baiya International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Baiya International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.