BJs Wholesale Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| BJ Stock | USD 90.27 1.31 1.43% |
BJs Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although BJs Wholesale's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of BJs Wholesale's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of BJs Wholesale fundamentals over time.
As of now, the value of RSI of BJs Wholesale's share price is approaching 47 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BJs Wholesale, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.3547 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.6451 | Wall Street Target Price 104.1 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.0916 |
Using BJs Wholesale hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BJs Wholesale Club from the perspective of BJs Wholesale response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BJs Wholesale using BJs Wholesale's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BJs using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BJs Wholesale's stock price.
BJs Wholesale Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in BJs Wholesale's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards BJs. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of BJs Wholesale stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 101.2028 | Short Percent 0.0787 | Short Ratio 4.62 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.9 M | 50 Day MA 92.3746 |
BJs Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of BJs Wholesale Club on the next trading day is expected to be 93.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 104.76.BJs Wholesale Club Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to BJs Wholesale's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in BJs. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BJs can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BJs Wholesale Club. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of BJs Wholesale's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about BJs Wholesale.
BJs Wholesale Implied Volatility | 0.45 |
BJs Wholesale's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BJs Wholesale Club stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BJs Wholesale's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BJs Wholesale stock will not fluctuate a lot when BJs Wholesale's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of BJs Wholesale Club on the next trading day is expected to be 93.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 104.76. BJs Wholesale after-hype prediction price | USD 90.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BJs Wholesale to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current BJs contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that BJs Wholesale Club will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0281% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With BJs Wholesale trading at USD 90.27, that is roughly USD 0.0254 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating BJs Wholesale's daily price movement you should consider acquiring BJs Wholesale Club options at the current volatility level of 0.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 BJs Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast BJs Wholesale's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in BJs Wholesale's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for BJs Wholesale stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current BJs Wholesale's open interest, investors have to compare it to BJs Wholesale's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of BJs Wholesale is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in BJs. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
BJs Wholesale Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BJs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BJs using various technical indicators. When you analyze BJs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BJs Wholesale Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of BJs Wholesale Club on the next trading day is expected to be 93.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.72, mean absolute percentage error of 4.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 104.76.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BJs Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BJs Wholesale's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BJs Wholesale Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BJs Wholesale | BJs Wholesale Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
BJs Wholesale Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BJs Wholesale's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BJs Wholesale's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 92.09 and 95.70, respectively. We have considered BJs Wholesale's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BJs Wholesale stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BJs Wholesale stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.5636 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.7174 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0186 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 104.7589 |
Predictive Modules for BJs Wholesale
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BJs Wholesale Club. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BJs Wholesale After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BJs Wholesale at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BJs Wholesale or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BJs Wholesale, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BJs Wholesale Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BJs Wholesale's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BJs Wholesale's historical news coverage. BJs Wholesale's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 88.46 and 92.08, respectively. We have considered BJs Wholesale's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BJs Wholesale is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BJs Wholesale Club is based on 3 months time horizon.
BJs Wholesale Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BJs Wholesale is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BJs Wholesale backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BJs Wholesale, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.81 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
90.27 | 90.27 | 0.00 |
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BJs Wholesale Hype Timeline
As of January 29, 2026 BJs Wholesale Club is listed for 90.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. BJs is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 157.39%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on BJs Wholesale is about 2961.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 90.27. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.28. BJs Wholesale Club had not issued any dividends in recent years. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BJs Wholesale to cross-verify your projections.BJs Wholesale Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BJs Wholesale's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BJs Wholesale's future price movements. Getting to know how BJs Wholesale's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BJs Wholesale may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HRL | Hormel Foods | 0.27 | 17 per month | 0.96 | 0.12 | 2.36 | (2.00) | 6.59 | |
| COKE | Coca Cola Consolidated | (0.63) | 17 per month | 1.17 | 0.11 | 2.99 | (2.25) | 9.33 | |
| BF-B | Brown Forman | 1.36 | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.99 | (3.72) | 8.35 | |
| CLX | The Clorox | 1.28 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.86 | (2.81) | 7.64 | |
| ACI | Albertsons Companies | (0.15) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.47 | (1.99) | 8.43 | |
| OLLI | Ollies Bargain Outlet | (0.18) | 22 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.30 | (2.82) | 10.10 | |
| SJM | The J M | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.46 | (0.03) | 2.45 | (2.14) | 5.77 | |
| SFM | Sprouts Farmers Market | (0.76) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.16 | (3.68) | 26.63 | |
| EDU | New Oriental Education | (0.64) | 10 per month | 1.83 | (0.02) | 3.64 | (3.35) | 8.57 |
Other Forecasting Options for BJs Wholesale
For every potential investor in BJs, whether a beginner or expert, BJs Wholesale's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BJs Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BJs. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BJs Wholesale's price trends.BJs Wholesale Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BJs Wholesale stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BJs Wholesale could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BJs Wholesale by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BJs Wholesale Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BJs Wholesale stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BJs Wholesale shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BJs Wholesale stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BJs Wholesale Club entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 30738.25 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.67) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 91.02 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 90.77 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.41) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.31) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.24 |
BJs Wholesale Risk Indicators
The analysis of BJs Wholesale's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BJs Wholesale's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bjs stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Variance | 3.26 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BJs Wholesale
The number of cover stories for BJs Wholesale depends on current market conditions and BJs Wholesale's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BJs Wholesale is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BJs Wholesale's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BJs Wholesale Short Properties
BJs Wholesale's future price predictability will typically decrease when BJs Wholesale's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BJs Wholesale Club often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BJs Wholesale's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BJs Wholesale's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 133.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BJs Wholesale to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
What growth prospects exist in Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector? Can BJs capture new markets? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BJs Wholesale. Projected growth potential of BJs fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Valuation analysis balances hard financial data with qualitative growth assessments. While each BJs Wholesale valuation metric matters, prioritizing which indicators carry greater predictive weight remains essential.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Earnings Share 4.34 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.049 | Return On Assets |
Understanding BJs Wholesale Club requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects BJs's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what BJs Wholesale's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push BJs Wholesale's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between BJs Wholesale's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding BJs Wholesale should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, BJs Wholesale's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.