Booking CDR Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BKNG Stock | 33.84 0.18 0.53% |
Booking Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Booking CDR stock prices and determine the direction of Booking CDR's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Booking CDR's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Booking CDR's share price is approaching 46 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Booking CDR, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.135 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.127 |
Using Booking CDR hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Booking CDR from the perspective of Booking CDR response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Booking CDR on the next trading day is expected to be 33.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.94. Booking CDR after-hype prediction price | CAD 33.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Booking |
Booking CDR Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Booking price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Booking using various technical indicators. When you analyze Booking charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Booking CDR Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Booking CDR on the next trading day is expected to be 33.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Booking Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Booking CDR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Booking CDR Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Booking CDR | Booking CDR Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Booking CDR Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Booking CDR's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Booking CDR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.11 and 35.57, respectively. We have considered Booking CDR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Booking CDR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Booking CDR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.1579 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.003 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4157 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0124 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 24.94 |
Predictive Modules for Booking CDR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Booking CDR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Booking CDR After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Booking CDR at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Booking CDR or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Booking CDR, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Booking CDR Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Booking CDR's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Booking CDR's historical news coverage. Booking CDR's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.11 and 35.57, respectively. We have considered Booking CDR's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Booking CDR is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Booking CDR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Booking CDR Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Booking CDR is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Booking CDR backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Booking CDR, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
33.84 | 33.84 | 0.00 |
|
Booking CDR Hype Timeline
Booking CDR is currently traded for 33.84on NEO Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Booking is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Booking CDR is about 1609.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.84. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.95. Booking CDR last dividend was issued on the 5th of December 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Booking CDR to cross-verify your projections.Booking CDR Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Booking CDR's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Booking CDR's future price movements. Getting to know how Booking CDR's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Booking CDR may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| USA | Americas Silver Corp | (0.42) | 10 per month | 3.17 | 0.27 | 8.70 | (5.74) | 18.10 | |
| EVT | Economic Investment Trust | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.65 | 0.13 | 3.07 | (1.73) | 6.97 | |
| FINV-P | Faction Investment Group | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.17 | |
| PRU | Perseus Mining | (0.04) | 7 per month | 1.62 | 0.22 | 4.01 | (2.91) | 9.69 | |
| NEXG | NeXGold Mining Corp | 0.05 | 9 per month | 1.66 | 0.24 | 4.90 | (3.01) | 10.00 | |
| IGBT-UN | 2028 Investment Grade | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.57 | (0.10) | 1.32 | (0.93) | 3.72 | |
| AYA | Aya Gold Silver | 1.10 | 9 per month | 3.20 | 0.20 | 8.53 | (5.50) | 18.97 | |
| CS | Capstone Mining Corp | 0.17 | 6 per month | 2.67 | 0.15 | 7.47 | (5.97) | 15.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for Booking CDR
For every potential investor in Booking, whether a beginner or expert, Booking CDR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Booking Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Booking. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Booking CDR's price trends.Booking CDR Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Booking CDR stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Booking CDR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Booking CDR by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Booking CDR Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Booking CDR stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Booking CDR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Booking CDR stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Booking CDR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Booking CDR Risk Indicators
The analysis of Booking CDR's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Booking CDR's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting booking stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Variance | 3.18 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.34 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.67) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Booking CDR
The number of cover stories for Booking CDR depends on current market conditions and Booking CDR's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Booking CDR is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Booking CDR's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Booking CDR Short Properties
Booking CDR's future price predictability will typically decrease when Booking CDR's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Booking CDR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Booking CDR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Booking CDR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0089 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.32 | |
| Shares Float | 32.1 M |
Other Information on Investing in Booking Stock
Booking CDR financial ratios help investors to determine whether Booking Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Booking with respect to the benefits of owning Booking CDR security.