Capstone Mining Corp Stock Price Prediction

CS Stock  CAD 15.37  1.24  8.78%   
As of today, The relative strength momentum indicator of Capstone Mining's share price is at 54 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Capstone Mining, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 54

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Capstone Mining's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Capstone Mining Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Capstone Mining's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
18.384
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.1262
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.3049
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.9978
Wall Street Target Price
16.4269
Using Capstone Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Capstone Mining Corp from the perspective of Capstone Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Capstone Mining to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Capstone because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Capstone Mining after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 15.46  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Capstone Mining Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capstone Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.8714.2317.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.4815.8319.19
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.060.160.09
Details

Capstone Mining After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Capstone Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Capstone Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Capstone Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Capstone Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Capstone Mining's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Capstone Mining's historical news coverage. Capstone Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.10 and 18.82, respectively. We have considered Capstone Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
15.37
15.46
After-hype Price
18.82
Upside
Capstone Mining is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Capstone Mining Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Capstone Mining Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Capstone Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Capstone Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Capstone Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.54 
3.36
  0.09 
  0.16 
6 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.37
15.46
0.59 
1,976  
Notes

Capstone Mining Hype Timeline

Capstone Mining Corp is currently traded for 15.37on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.16. Capstone is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.46 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.59%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.54%. The volatility of related hype on Capstone Mining is about 1135.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.53. The company reported the revenue of 1.6 B. Net Income was 78.93 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 849.21 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Capstone Mining Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Capstone Mining Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Capstone Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Capstone Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Capstone Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Capstone Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HBMHudBay Minerals 0.07 10 per month 2.04  0.25  5.44 (2.67) 11.89 
CGGChina Gold International 0.08 5 per month 1.98  0.27  5.29 (4.04) 15.34 
IMGIAMGold(0.10)9 per month 1.97  0.24  5.59 (4.30) 14.96 
NGDNew Gold(0.30)10 per month 2.09  0.27  7.68 (3.10) 20.09 
TFPMTriple Flag Precious(0.94)7 per month 1.68  0.15  4.15 (3.14) 11.36 
OROsisko Gold Ro 0.00 0 per month 1.55  0.16  4.09 (2.87) 8.42 
OGCOceanaGold 0.54 3 per month 1.85  0.29  4.57 (3.88) 11.33 
BTOB2Gold Corp 0.54 2 per month 3.14 (0.01) 4.60 (4.55) 12.91 
ELDEldorado Gold Corp 2.29 8 per month 1.19  0.34  4.82 (2.84) 11.64 
AGFirst Majestic Silver 0.78 10 per month 2.81  0.24  8.63 (5.31) 16.66 

Capstone Mining Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Capstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Capstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Capstone Mining Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Capstone Mining stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Capstone Mining Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Capstone Mining based on analysis of Capstone Mining hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Capstone Mining's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Capstone Mining's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding39.6833.7138.7636.04
PTB Ratio1.241.521.751.84

Pair Trading with Capstone Mining

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Capstone Mining position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Capstone Mining will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Capstone Stock

  0.88AG First Majestic SilverPairCorr
  0.8IE Ivanhoe EnergyPairCorr
  0.89ORE Orezone Gold CorpPairCorr
  0.71FDR Flinders ResourcesPairCorr
  0.91FDY Faraday Copper CorpPairCorr

Moving against Capstone Stock

  0.68RCI-A Rogers Communications Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.65DII-A Dorel Industries ClAPairCorr
  0.55ORC-A Orca Energy GroupPairCorr
  0.36INFM Infinico Metals CorpPairCorr
  0.32AML Argus Metals CorpPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Capstone Mining could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Capstone Mining when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Capstone Mining - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Capstone Mining Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Capstone Mining is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Capstone Mining moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Capstone Mining Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Capstone Mining can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Capstone Stock

Capstone Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Capstone Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Capstone with respect to the benefits of owning Capstone Mining security.