Bloomin Brands Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BLMN Stock | USD 7.66 0.04 0.52% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bloomin Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 7.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.18. Bloomin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Bloomin Brands' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Bloomin Brands' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Bloomin Brands fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength indicator of Bloomin Brands' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2644 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.1212 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.908 | Wall Street Target Price 7.75 |
Using Bloomin Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bloomin Brands from the perspective of Bloomin Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bloomin Brands using Bloomin Brands' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bloomin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bloomin Brands' stock price.
Bloomin Brands Short Interest
An investor who is long Bloomin Brands may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Bloomin Brands and may potentially protect profits, hedge Bloomin Brands with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 7.6466 | Short Percent 0.1329 | Short Ratio 4.07 | Shares Short Prior Month 9 M | 50 Day MA 6.8242 |
Bloomin Brands Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Bloomin Brands' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Bloomin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Bloomin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Bloomin Brands. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Bloomin Brands Implied Volatility | 1.05 |
Bloomin Brands' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bloomin Brands stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bloomin Brands' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bloomin Brands stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bloomin Brands' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bloomin Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 7.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.18. Bloomin Brands after-hype prediction price | USD 7.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bloomin Brands to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Bloomin Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Bloomin Brands' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Bloomin Brands' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Bloomin Brands stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Bloomin Brands' open interest, investors have to compare it to Bloomin Brands' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Bloomin Brands is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Bloomin. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Bloomin Brands Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bloomin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bloomin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bloomin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bloomin Brands Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bloomin Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 7.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.18.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bloomin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bloomin Brands' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bloomin Brands Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bloomin Brands | Bloomin Brands Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Bloomin Brands Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bloomin Brands' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bloomin Brands' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.94 and 11.38, respectively. We have considered Bloomin Brands' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bloomin Brands stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bloomin Brands stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.5481 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 7.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.203 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0296 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.18 |
Predictive Modules for Bloomin Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bloomin Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bloomin Brands After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bloomin Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bloomin Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bloomin Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bloomin Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bloomin Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bloomin Brands' historical news coverage. Bloomin Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.90 and 11.40, respectively. We have considered Bloomin Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bloomin Brands is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bloomin Brands is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bloomin Brands Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bloomin Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bloomin Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bloomin Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 3.72 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.66 | 7.65 | 0.13 |
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Bloomin Brands Hype Timeline
Bloomin Brands is currently traded for 7.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Bloomin is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Bloomin Brands is about 15500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.66. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.89. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bloomin Brands has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.07. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of August 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bloomin Brands to cross-verify your projections.Bloomin Brands Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bloomin Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bloomin Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Bloomin Brands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bloomin Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DIN | Dine Brands Global | (1.37) | 9 per month | 2.17 | 0.11 | 4.67 | (4.27) | 13.87 | |
| VENU | Venu Holding | (0.46) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.95 | (9.64) | 28.28 | |
| PBPB | Potbelly Co | 0.23 | 19 per month | 1.10 | 0.1 | 2.91 | (3.50) | 31.44 | |
| OXM | Oxford Industries | 1.58 | 10 per month | 5.11 | 0.01 | 6.99 | (5.59) | 30.64 | |
| UXIN | Uxin | 0.21 | 8 per month | 4.85 | 0.07 | 10.40 | (8.90) | 28.17 | |
| KRUS | Kura Sushi USA | 1.34 | 10 per month | 3.60 | 0.06 | 6.47 | (5.43) | 18.89 | |
| CBRL | Cracker Barrel Old | 0.01 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 7.62 | (5.50) | 13.71 | |
| HOV | Hovnanian Enterprises | (1.97) | 11 per month | 4.92 | (0.01) | 7.93 | (4.68) | 34.59 | |
| ETD | Ethan Allen Interiors | 0.41 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.14 | (2.76) | 11.63 | |
| LEGH | Legacy Housing Corp | (0.22) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.90 | (3.99) | 10.51 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bloomin Brands
For every potential investor in Bloomin, whether a beginner or expert, Bloomin Brands' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bloomin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bloomin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bloomin Brands' price trends.Bloomin Brands Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bloomin Brands stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bloomin Brands could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bloomin Brands by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bloomin Brands Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bloomin Brands stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bloomin Brands shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bloomin Brands stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bloomin Brands entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Bloomin Brands Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bloomin Brands' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bloomin Brands' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bloomin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.89 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.67 | |||
| Variance | 13.44 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.25 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.35 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bloomin Brands
The number of cover stories for Bloomin Brands depends on current market conditions and Bloomin Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bloomin Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bloomin Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bloomin Brands Short Properties
Bloomin Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Bloomin Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bloomin Brands often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bloomin Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bloomin Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 85.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 70.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bloomin Brands to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Bloomin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Bloomin Brands guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bloomin Brands. If investors know Bloomin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bloomin Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Dividend Share 0.69 | Earnings Share 0.37 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.021 |
The market value of Bloomin Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bloomin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bloomin Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bloomin Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bloomin Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bloomin Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bloomin Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bloomin Brands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bloomin Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.