Eastside Distilling Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BLNE Stock | 2.85 0.17 5.63% |
Eastside Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Eastside Distilling stock prices and determine the direction of Eastside Distilling's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Eastside Distilling's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Eastside Distilling's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.06) | EPS Estimate Current Year (4.39) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.12) | Wall Street Target Price 4.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.24) |
Using Eastside Distilling hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eastside Distilling from the perspective of Eastside Distilling response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eastside Distilling on the next trading day is expected to be 2.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.65. Eastside Distilling after-hype prediction price | USD 2.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eastside Distilling to cross-verify your projections. Eastside Distilling Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Eastside price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eastside using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eastside charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Eastside Distilling Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eastside Distilling on the next trading day is expected to be 2.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eastside Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eastside Distilling's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Eastside Distilling Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Eastside Distilling | Eastside Distilling Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Eastside Distilling Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Eastside Distilling's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eastside Distilling's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 9.74, respectively. We have considered Eastside Distilling's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eastside Distilling stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eastside Distilling stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.5138 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0182 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1254 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0519 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.65 |
Predictive Modules for Eastside Distilling
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eastside Distilling. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Eastside Distilling After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Eastside Distilling at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eastside Distilling or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eastside Distilling, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Eastside Distilling Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Eastside Distilling's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eastside Distilling's historical news coverage. Eastside Distilling's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.14 and 9.71, respectively. We have considered Eastside Distilling's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Eastside Distilling is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eastside Distilling is based on 3 months time horizon.
Eastside Distilling Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eastside Distilling is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eastside Distilling backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eastside Distilling, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.05 | 6.89 | 0.02 | 0.21 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.85 | 2.87 | 0.70 |
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Eastside Distilling Hype Timeline
Eastside Distilling is currently traded for 2.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.21. Eastside is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.87 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.7%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.05%. The volatility of related hype on Eastside Distilling is about 3515.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.64. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.48 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eastside Distilling to cross-verify your projections.Eastside Distilling Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Eastside Distilling's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eastside Distilling's future price movements. Getting to know how Eastside Distilling's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eastside Distilling may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JZ | Jianzhi Education Technology | (0.22) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 9.43 | (10.00) | 45.07 | |
| IH | Ihuman Inc | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.19 | (4.87) | 12.79 | |
| BTOG | Bit Origin | (1.73) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 7.75 | (13.91) | 52.92 | |
| UG | United Guardian | (0.01) | 7 per month | 1.95 | (0.01) | 2.56 | (3.45) | 13.91 | |
| BTCT | BTC Digital | (0.01) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 9.26 | (6.98) | 37.58 | |
| COOT | Australian Oilseeds Holdings | 0.06 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 7.94 | (10.53) | 38.16 | |
| AMZE | Amaze Holdings | 0.09 | 9 per month | 7.82 | (0.01) | 20.00 | (15.00) | 52.45 | |
| WVVI | Willamette Valley Vineyards | (0.01) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.81 | (4.08) | 22.81 | |
| FARM | Farmer Bros Co | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.14 | (4.35) | 15.70 | |
| JVA | Coffee Holding Co | (0.16) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.59 | (5.75) | 26.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for Eastside Distilling
For every potential investor in Eastside, whether a beginner or expert, Eastside Distilling's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eastside Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eastside. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eastside Distilling's price trends.Eastside Distilling Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eastside Distilling stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eastside Distilling could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eastside Distilling by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Eastside Distilling Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eastside Distilling stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eastside Distilling shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eastside Distilling stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Eastside Distilling entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 327883.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.34) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.78 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.8 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.17) |
Eastside Distilling Risk Indicators
The analysis of Eastside Distilling's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eastside Distilling's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eastside stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.96 | |||
| Variance | 48.39 | |||
| Downside Variance | 38.59 | |||
| Semi Variance | 32.12 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Eastside Distilling
The number of cover stories for Eastside Distilling depends on current market conditions and Eastside Distilling's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eastside Distilling is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eastside Distilling's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Eastside Distilling Short Properties
Eastside Distilling's future price predictability will typically decrease when Eastside Distilling's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Eastside Distilling often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Eastside Distilling's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eastside Distilling's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 246.3 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 391 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eastside Distilling to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Eastside Stock refer to our How to Trade Eastside Stock guide.You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Will Distillers & Vintners sector continue expanding? Could Eastside diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eastside Distilling. Projected growth potential of Eastside fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Eastside Distilling data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share 74.27 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding Eastside Distilling requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Eastside's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Eastside Distilling's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Eastside Distilling's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Eastside Distilling's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Eastside Distilling should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Eastside Distilling's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.