Eastside Distilling Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

BLNE Stock   3.33  0.15  4.72%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Eastside Distilling on the next trading day is expected to be 3.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.00. Eastside Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Eastside Distilling stock prices and determine the direction of Eastside Distilling's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Eastside Distilling's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Eastside Distilling's stock price is about 64 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Eastside, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 64

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Eastside Distilling's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Eastside Distilling and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Eastside Distilling's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Eastside Distilling, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Eastside Distilling's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.06)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(4.39)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.12)
Wall Street Target Price
4.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.24)
Using Eastside Distilling hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eastside Distilling from the perspective of Eastside Distilling response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Eastside Distilling on the next trading day is expected to be 3.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.00.

Eastside Distilling after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.33  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eastside Distilling to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Eastside Stock refer to our How to Trade Eastside Stock guide.

Eastside Distilling Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Eastside price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eastside using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eastside charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Eastside Distilling is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Eastside Distilling Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Eastside Distilling on the next trading day is expected to be 3.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eastside Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eastside Distilling's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Eastside Distilling Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Eastside DistillingEastside Distilling Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Eastside Distilling Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Eastside Distilling's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eastside Distilling's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 10.70, respectively. We have considered Eastside Distilling's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.33
3.25
Expected Value
10.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eastside Distilling stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eastside Distilling stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.2583
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0031
MADMean absolute deviation0.1525
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0696
SAESum of the absolute errors9.0
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Eastside Distilling price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Eastside Distilling. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Eastside Distilling

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eastside Distilling. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.173.3310.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.439.88
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.03-0.03-0.03
Details

Eastside Distilling After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Eastside Distilling at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eastside Distilling or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eastside Distilling, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Eastside Distilling Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Eastside Distilling's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eastside Distilling's historical news coverage. Eastside Distilling's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.17 and 10.78, respectively. We have considered Eastside Distilling's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.33
3.33
After-hype Price
10.78
Upside
Eastside Distilling is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eastside Distilling is based on 3 months time horizon.

Eastside Distilling Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eastside Distilling is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eastside Distilling backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eastside Distilling, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.27 
7.45
  0.08 
  0.02 
11 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.33
3.33
0.00 
2,403  
Notes

Eastside Distilling Hype Timeline

Eastside Distilling is currently traded for 3.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Eastside is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Eastside Distilling is about 9085.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.31. About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.7. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Eastside Distilling recorded earning per share (EPS) of 74.27. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 12th of March 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eastside Distilling to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Eastside Stock refer to our How to Trade Eastside Stock guide.

Eastside Distilling Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Eastside Distilling's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eastside Distilling's future price movements. Getting to know how Eastside Distilling's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eastside Distilling may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
JZJianzhi Education Technology(0.01)1 per month 0.00 (0.19) 4.38 (8.04) 22.74 
IHIhuman Inc(0.22)9 per month 0.00 (0.23) 5.61 (5.92) 16.49 
BTOGBit Origin(0.17)7 per month 0.00 (0.27) 9.50 (11.71) 52.92 
UGUnited Guardian 0.05 2 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.59 (3.49) 10.23 
BTCTBTC Digital(0.17)10 per month 0.00 (0.13) 7.39 (7.44) 31.86 
COOTAustralian Oilseeds Holdings(0.02)7 per month 0.00 (0.18) 8.40 (10.53) 30.34 
AMZEAmaze Holdings 0.02 9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 20.00 (15.22) 44.11 
WVVIWillamette Valley Vineyards(0.17)2 per month 0.00 (0.14) 5.81 (7.09) 22.81 
FARMFarmer Bros Co(0.04)5 per month 0.00 (0.08) 4.05 (3.90) 19.74 
JVACoffee Holding Co(0.09)7 per month 0.00 (0.06) 5.54 (4.41) 16.33 

Other Forecasting Options for Eastside Distilling

For every potential investor in Eastside, whether a beginner or expert, Eastside Distilling's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eastside Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eastside. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eastside Distilling's price trends.

Eastside Distilling Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eastside Distilling stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eastside Distilling could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eastside Distilling by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Eastside Distilling Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eastside Distilling stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eastside Distilling shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eastside Distilling stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Eastside Distilling entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Eastside Distilling Risk Indicators

The analysis of Eastside Distilling's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eastside Distilling's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eastside stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Eastside Distilling

The number of cover stories for Eastside Distilling depends on current market conditions and Eastside Distilling's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eastside Distilling is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eastside Distilling's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Eastside Distilling Short Properties

Eastside Distilling's future price predictability will typically decrease when Eastside Distilling's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Eastside Distilling often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Eastside Distilling's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eastside Distilling's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding246.3 K
Cash And Short Term Investments391 K
When determining whether Eastside Distilling is a strong investment it is important to analyze Eastside Distilling's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Eastside Distilling's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Eastside Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eastside Distilling to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Eastside Stock refer to our How to Trade Eastside Stock guide.
You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Distillers & Vintners space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eastside Distilling. If investors know Eastside will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Eastside Distilling listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
74.27
Revenue Per Share
0.484
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
Return On Assets
(0.25)
Return On Equity
(0.73)
The market value of Eastside Distilling is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Eastside that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Eastside Distilling's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Eastside Distilling's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Eastside Distilling's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Eastside Distilling's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Eastside Distilling's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eastside Distilling is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eastside Distilling's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.