BillerudKorsns Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average

BLRDF Stock  USD 9.20  0.21  2.23%   
BillerudKorsns Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BillerudKorsns' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of BillerudKorsns' share price is approaching 33 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BillerudKorsns, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 33

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of BillerudKorsns' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of BillerudKorsns and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from BillerudKorsns' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BillerudKorsns AB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using BillerudKorsns hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BillerudKorsns AB from the perspective of BillerudKorsns response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BillerudKorsns AB on the next trading day is expected to be 9.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.68.

BillerudKorsns after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BillerudKorsns to cross-verify your projections.

BillerudKorsns Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BillerudKorsns price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BillerudKorsns using various technical indicators. When you analyze BillerudKorsns charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for BillerudKorsns is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

BillerudKorsns Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BillerudKorsns AB on the next trading day is expected to be 9.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BillerudKorsns Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BillerudKorsns' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BillerudKorsns Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest BillerudKorsns  BillerudKorsns Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

BillerudKorsns Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BillerudKorsns' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BillerudKorsns' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.20 and 10.20, respectively. We have considered BillerudKorsns' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.20
9.20
Expected Value
10.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BillerudKorsns pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BillerudKorsns pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.8995
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0025
MADMean absolute deviation0.0285
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0031
SAESum of the absolute errors1.68
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of BillerudKorsns AB price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of BillerudKorsns. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for BillerudKorsns

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BillerudKorsns AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BillerudKorsns' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.209.2010.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.159.1510.15
Details

BillerudKorsns After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of BillerudKorsns at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BillerudKorsns or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of BillerudKorsns, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

BillerudKorsns Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting BillerudKorsns' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BillerudKorsns' historical news coverage. BillerudKorsns' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.20 and 10.20, respectively. We have considered BillerudKorsns' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
9.20
9.20
After-hype Price
10.20
Upside
BillerudKorsns is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BillerudKorsns AB is based on 3 months time horizon.

BillerudKorsns Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BillerudKorsns is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BillerudKorsns backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BillerudKorsns, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
1.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.20
9.20
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

BillerudKorsns Hype Timeline

BillerudKorsns AB is currently traded for 9.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. BillerudKorsns is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on BillerudKorsns is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.20. About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.24. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BillerudKorsns AB last dividend was issued on the 25th of May 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BillerudKorsns to cross-verify your projections.

BillerudKorsns Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to BillerudKorsns' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BillerudKorsns' future price movements. Getting to know how BillerudKorsns' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BillerudKorsns may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PIKQFPT Indah Kiat 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.63) 5.71 (14.29) 14.29 
PAFRFPan African Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.20  5.56  0.00  35.65 
HCHDFHochschild Mining PLC 0.00 0 per month 2.15  0.29  9.48 (4.98) 18.83 
WDOFFWesdome Gold Mines 0.00 0 per month 2.69  0.08  4.53 (4.53) 13.89 
ZEOOFZeon Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
APMSFAperam SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 0.00  0.00  1.97 
ZEOOYZeon Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
LMPMYLee Man Paper 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.08  5.54 (0.59) 42.86 
MIMTFMitsubishi Materials 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  34.67 
IRLCFIsrael 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 0.00  0.00  13.45 

Other Forecasting Options for BillerudKorsns

For every potential investor in BillerudKorsns, whether a beginner or expert, BillerudKorsns' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BillerudKorsns Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BillerudKorsns. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BillerudKorsns' price trends.

BillerudKorsns Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BillerudKorsns pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BillerudKorsns could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BillerudKorsns by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BillerudKorsns Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BillerudKorsns pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BillerudKorsns shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BillerudKorsns pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify BillerudKorsns AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BillerudKorsns Risk Indicators

The analysis of BillerudKorsns' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BillerudKorsns' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting billerudkorsns pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for BillerudKorsns

The number of cover stories for BillerudKorsns depends on current market conditions and BillerudKorsns' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BillerudKorsns is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BillerudKorsns' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in BillerudKorsns Pink Sheet

BillerudKorsns financial ratios help investors to determine whether BillerudKorsns Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BillerudKorsns with respect to the benefits of owning BillerudKorsns security.