Billerudkorsns Ab Stock Price Prediction
| BLRDF Stock | USD 9.50 0.05 0.53% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
36
Oversold | Overbought |
Using BillerudKorsnäs hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BillerudKorsns AB from the perspective of BillerudKorsnäs response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BillerudKorsnäs to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BillerudKorsnäs because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
BillerudKorsnäs after-hype prediction price | USD 9.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BillerudKorsnäs |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BillerudKorsnäs' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BillerudKorsnäs After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BillerudKorsnäs at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BillerudKorsnäs or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of BillerudKorsnäs, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BillerudKorsnäs Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BillerudKorsnäs' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BillerudKorsnäs' historical news coverage. BillerudKorsnäs' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.59 and 11.41, respectively. We have considered BillerudKorsnäs' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BillerudKorsnäs is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BillerudKorsns AB is based on 3 months time horizon.
BillerudKorsnäs Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BillerudKorsnäs is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BillerudKorsnäs backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BillerudKorsnäs, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.50 | 9.50 | 0.00 |
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BillerudKorsnäs Hype Timeline
BillerudKorsns AB is currently traded for 9.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. BillerudKorsnäs is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on BillerudKorsnäs is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.50. About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.24. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BillerudKorsns AB last dividend was issued on the 25th of May 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out BillerudKorsnäs Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.BillerudKorsnäs Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BillerudKorsnäs' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BillerudKorsnäs' future price movements. Getting to know how BillerudKorsnäs' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BillerudKorsnäs may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NIJPF | Nippon Paper Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MONDF | Mondi Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OJIPY | Oji Holdings Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 8.54 | (11.79) | 28.21 | |
| NDGPY | Nine Dragons Paper | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.57 | (3.97) | 11.83 | |
| OJIPF | Oji Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NDGPF | Nine Dragons Paper | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.26 | (10.00) | 21.88 | |
| CFPUF | Canfor Pulp Products | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 5.88 | (6.06) | 27.69 | |
| SPPJY | Sappi Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.52 | 0.09 | 7.19 | (5.03) | 21.66 | |
| MONDY | Mondi PLC ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.37 | (2.72) | 6.22 | |
| KLBAY | Klabin Sa A | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.22 | 0 | 6.93 | (5.17) | 24.56 |
BillerudKorsnäs Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BillerudKorsnäs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BillerudKorsnäs using various technical indicators. When you analyze BillerudKorsnäs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About BillerudKorsnäs Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of BillerudKorsnäs stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BillerudKorsns AB, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BillerudKorsnäs based on analysis of BillerudKorsnäs hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BillerudKorsnäs's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BillerudKorsnäs's related companies.
Story Coverage note for BillerudKorsnäs
The number of cover stories for BillerudKorsnäs depends on current market conditions and BillerudKorsnäs' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BillerudKorsnäs is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BillerudKorsnäs' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BillerudKorsnäs Short Properties
BillerudKorsnäs' future price predictability will typically decrease when BillerudKorsnäs' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BillerudKorsns AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BillerudKorsnäs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BillerudKorsnäs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 222.1 M |
Complementary Tools for BillerudKorsnäs Pink Sheet analysis
When running BillerudKorsnäs' price analysis, check to measure BillerudKorsnäs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BillerudKorsnäs is operating at the current time. Most of BillerudKorsnäs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BillerudKorsnäs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BillerudKorsnäs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BillerudKorsnäs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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