Blue Sphere Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
Blue Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Blue Sphere's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Blue Sphere's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Blue Sphere fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Blue Sphere's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 0.16 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.86 |
Using Blue Sphere hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Blue Sphere Corp from the perspective of Blue Sphere response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Blue Sphere Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Blue Sphere after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blue Sphere to cross-verify your projections. Blue Sphere Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Blue price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Blue using various technical indicators. When you analyze Blue charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Blue Sphere Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Blue Sphere Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Blue Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Blue Sphere's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Blue Sphere Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Blue Sphere | Blue Sphere Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Blue Sphere Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Blue Sphere's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Blue Sphere's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Blue Sphere's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Blue Sphere stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Blue Sphere stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Blue Sphere
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blue Sphere Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blue Sphere's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Blue Sphere Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Blue Sphere is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Blue Sphere backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Blue Sphere, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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Blue Sphere Hype Timeline
Blue Sphere Corp is currently traded for 0.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Blue is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Blue Sphere is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. Blue Sphere Corp last dividend was issued on the 24th of March 2017. The entity had 0.007692:1 split on the 24th of March 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blue Sphere to cross-verify your projections.Blue Sphere Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Blue Sphere's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Blue Sphere's future price movements. Getting to know how Blue Sphere's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Blue Sphere may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CGEI | CGE Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
| CMNR | Commerce Energy Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NCEN | Nacel Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VCII | ViviCells International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SOPV | Solar Park Initiatives | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ARAO | AuraSource | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GEFI | Geo Finance Corp | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| QSPW | Quantum Solar Power | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PTTN | Patten Energy Solutions | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ZHYLF | Zhaoheng Hydropower | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Blue Sphere
For every potential investor in Blue, whether a beginner or expert, Blue Sphere's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Blue Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Blue. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Blue Sphere's price trends.Blue Sphere Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Blue Sphere stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Blue Sphere could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Blue Sphere by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Story Coverage note for Blue Sphere
The number of cover stories for Blue Sphere depends on current market conditions and Blue Sphere's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Blue Sphere is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Blue Sphere's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Blue Stock Analysis
When running Blue Sphere's price analysis, check to measure Blue Sphere's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blue Sphere is operating at the current time. Most of Blue Sphere's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blue Sphere's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blue Sphere's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blue Sphere to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.